Koninklijke Vopak Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

VOPKY Stock  USD 39.53  0.46  1.15%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Koninklijke Vopak NV on the next trading day is expected to be 39.74 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.77  and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.12. Koninklijke Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Koninklijke Vopak stock prices and determine the direction of Koninklijke Vopak NV's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Koninklijke Vopak's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Koninklijke Vopak to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Koninklijke Vopak cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Koninklijke Vopak's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Koninklijke Vopak's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Koninklijke Vopak polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Koninklijke Vopak NV as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Koninklijke Vopak Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Koninklijke Vopak NV on the next trading day is expected to be 39.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77, mean absolute percentage error of 0.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Koninklijke Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Koninklijke Vopak's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Koninklijke Vopak Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Koninklijke VopakKoninklijke Vopak Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Koninklijke Vopak Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Koninklijke Vopak's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Koninklijke Vopak's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.97 and 41.52, respectively. We have considered Koninklijke Vopak's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
39.53
39.74
Expected Value
41.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Koninklijke Vopak pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Koninklijke Vopak pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.8871
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7724
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0219
SAESum of the absolute errors47.1156
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Koninklijke Vopak historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Koninklijke Vopak

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Koninklijke Vopak. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Koninklijke Vopak's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.7539.5341.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.5844.4646.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Koninklijke Vopak. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Koninklijke Vopak's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Koninklijke Vopak's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Koninklijke Vopak.

Other Forecasting Options for Koninklijke Vopak

For every potential investor in Koninklijke, whether a beginner or expert, Koninklijke Vopak's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Koninklijke Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Koninklijke. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Koninklijke Vopak's price trends.

Koninklijke Vopak Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Koninklijke Vopak pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Koninklijke Vopak could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Koninklijke Vopak by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Koninklijke Vopak Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Koninklijke Vopak's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Koninklijke Vopak's current price.

Koninklijke Vopak Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Koninklijke Vopak pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Koninklijke Vopak shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Koninklijke Vopak pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Koninklijke Vopak NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Koninklijke Vopak Risk Indicators

The analysis of Koninklijke Vopak's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Koninklijke Vopak's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting koninklijke pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Koninklijke Vopak to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.

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When running Koninklijke Vopak's price analysis, check to measure Koninklijke Vopak's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Koninklijke Vopak is operating at the current time. Most of Koninklijke Vopak's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Koninklijke Vopak's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Koninklijke Vopak's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Koninklijke Vopak to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Koninklijke Vopak's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Koninklijke Vopak is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Koninklijke Vopak's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.