Winland Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

WELXDelisted Stock  USD 2.06  0.30  17.05%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Winland Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.10 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.11  and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.61. Winland Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Winland Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Winland Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Winland Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
  
Most investors in Winland Holdings cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Winland Holdings' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Winland Holdings' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Winland Holdings simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Winland Holdings are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Winland Holdings prices get older.

Winland Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Winland Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Winland Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Winland Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Winland Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Winland Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Winland Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.6802
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0129
MADMean absolute deviation0.1102
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0565
SAESum of the absolute errors6.6113
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Winland Holdings forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Winland Holdings observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Winland Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Winland Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Winland Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.062.062.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.731.732.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Winland Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Winland Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Winland Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Winland Holdings.

Winland Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Winland Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Winland Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Winland Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Winland Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Winland Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Winland Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Winland Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Winland Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Winland Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Winland Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Winland Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting winland pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Winland Holdings in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Winland Holdings' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Winland Holdings options trading.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

Other Consideration for investing in Winland Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Winland Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Winland Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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