5 Year 5 Year Forward Inflation Expectation Rate

Measurement
Percent
Indicator Type or Source
Interest Indicator
Period End Date
March 1, 2024
Clasification
Interest
 
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5 Year 5 Year Forward Inflation Expectation Rate is an economic indicator measured in Percent. It covers the period from Monday, April 19, 2004, to Friday, March 1, 2024, and is updated monthly. Please note, this series is a measure of expected inflation (on average) over the five-year period that begins five years from today. This series is constructed as: (((((1+((BC_10YEAR-TC_10YEAR)/100))^10)/((1+((BC_5YEAR-TC_5YEAR)/100))^5))^0.2)-1)*100 where BC10_YEAR, TC_10YEAR, BC_5YEAR, and TC_5YEAR are the 10 year and 5 year nominal and inflation adjusted Treasury securities. All of those are the actual series IDs in FRED. Starting with the update on June 21, 2019, the Treasury bond data used in calculating interest rate spreads is obtained directly from the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield). Please view all Interest indicators for more information or continue to All Top Economic Indicators.
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (fred.stlouisfed.org)

20-Year History of 5 Year 5 Year Forward Inflation Expectation Rate

The above interactive chart and the table below show the 20-year history of 5 year 5 year forward inflation expectation rate going back to Monday, April 19, 2004. The current value is 2.24 which was updated on Friday, March 1, 2024. Historical data is often used in econometric models to forecast future economic conditions. These forecasts can influence a wide range of decisions, from monetary policy at central banks to investment strategies at businesses and financial institutions.
Mar 1, 20242.24  
Feb 1, 20242.25  
Jan 1, 20242.31  
Dec 1, 20232.24  
Nov 1, 20232.36  
Oct 1, 20232.46  
Sep 1, 20232.43  
Aug 1, 20232.43  
Jul 1, 20232.39  
Jun 1, 20232.26  
May 1, 20232.27  
Apr 1, 20232.22  
Mar 1, 20232.23  
Feb 1, 20232.22  
Jan 1, 20232.24  
Dec 1, 20222.2  
Nov 1, 20222.3  
Oct 1, 20222.32  
Sep 1, 20222.31  
Aug 1, 20222.33  
Jul 1, 20222.14  
Jun 1, 20222.34  
May 1, 20222.35  
Apr 1, 20222.45  
Mar 1, 20222.28  
Feb 1, 20222.05  
Jan 1, 20222.1  
Dec 1, 20212.17  
Nov 1, 20212.25  
Oct 1, 20212.33  
Sep 1, 20212.19  
Aug 1, 20212.2  
Jul 1, 20212.16  
Jun 1, 20212.22  
May 1, 20212.29  
Apr 1, 20212.17  
Mar 1, 20212.05  
Feb 1, 20212.05  
Jan 1, 20212.06  
Dec 1, 20201.97  
Nov 1, 20201.8  
Oct 1, 20201.85  
Sep 1, 20201.78  
Aug 1, 20201.77  
Jul 1, 20201.6  
Jun 1, 20201.53  
May 1, 20201.47  
Apr 1, 20201.45  
Mar 1, 20201.3  
Feb 1, 20201.65  
Jan 1, 20201.79  
Dec 1, 20191.81  
Nov 1, 20191.73  
Oct 1, 20191.72  
Sep 1, 20191.78  
Aug 1, 20191.79  
Jul 1, 20191.93  
Jun 1, 20191.85  
May 1, 20191.94  
Apr 1, 20192.03  
Mar 1, 20192.01  
Feb 1, 20192.0  
Jan 1, 20191.96  
Dec 1, 20182.02  
Nov 1, 20182.17  
Oct 1, 20182.23  
Sep 1, 20182.24  
Aug 1, 20182.22  
Jul 1, 20182.2  
Jun 1, 20182.17  
May 1, 20182.18  
Apr 1, 20182.21  
Mar 1, 20182.16  
Feb 1, 20182.23  
Jan 1, 20182.15  
Dec 1, 20172.04  
Nov 1, 20171.95  
Oct 1, 20171.99  
Sep 1, 20171.98  
Aug 1, 20171.94  
Jul 1, 20171.9  
Jun 1, 20171.83  
May 1, 20171.91  
Apr 1, 20172.08  
Mar 1, 20172.15  
Feb 1, 20172.15  
Jan 1, 20172.13  
Dec 1, 20162.05  
Nov 1, 20161.97  
Oct 1, 20161.79  
Sep 1, 20161.67  
Aug 1, 20161.64  
Jul 1, 20161.53  
Jun 1, 20161.5  
May 1, 20161.68  
Apr 1, 20161.76  
Mar 1, 20161.69  
Feb 1, 20161.54  
Jan 1, 20161.65  
Dec 1, 20151.78  
Nov 1, 20151.87  
Oct 1, 20151.82  
Sep 1, 20151.88  
Aug 1, 20151.99  
Jul 1, 20152.15  
Jun 1, 20152.09  
May 1, 20152.1  
Apr 1, 20152.11  
Mar 1, 20152.04  
Feb 1, 20152.08  
Jan 1, 20152.02  
Dec 1, 20142.13  
Nov 1, 20142.28  
Oct 1, 20142.35  
Sep 1, 20142.47  
Aug 1, 20142.56  
Jul 1, 20142.55  
Jun 1, 20142.49  
May 1, 20142.45  
Apr 1, 20142.53  
Mar 1, 20142.54  
Feb 1, 20142.54  
Jan 1, 20142.72  
Dec 1, 20132.65  
Nov 1, 20132.59  
Oct 1, 20132.6  
Sep 1, 20132.53  
Aug 1, 20132.53  
Jul 1, 20132.39  
Jun 1, 20132.31  
May 1, 20132.6  
Apr 1, 20132.73  
Mar 1, 20132.85  
Feb 1, 20132.86  
Jan 1, 20132.84  
Dec 1, 20122.86  
Nov 1, 20122.79  
Oct 1, 20122.82  
Sep 1, 20122.72  
Aug 1, 20122.64  
Jul 1, 20122.49  
Jun 1, 20122.48  
May 1, 20122.4  
Apr 1, 20122.57  
Mar 1, 20122.57  
Feb 1, 20122.5  
Jan 1, 20122.4  
Dec 1, 20112.35  
Nov 1, 20112.26  
Oct 1, 20112.23  
Sep 1, 20112.18  
Aug 1, 20112.55  
Jul 1, 20112.73  
Jun 1, 20112.52  
May 1, 20112.6  
Apr 1, 20112.89  
Mar 1, 20112.7  
Feb 1, 20112.67  
Jan 1, 20112.73  
Dec 1, 20102.78  
Nov 1, 20102.62  
Oct 1, 20102.52  
Sep 1, 20102.2  
Aug 1, 20102.02  
Jul 1, 20102.12  
Jun 1, 20102.22  
May 1, 20102.45  
Apr 1, 20102.74  
Mar 1, 20102.57  
Feb 1, 20102.6  
Jan 1, 20102.66  
Dec 1, 20092.55  
Nov 1, 20092.49  
Oct 1, 20092.32  
Sep 1, 20092.18  
Aug 1, 20092.36  
Jul 1, 20092.2  
Jun 1, 20092.19  
May 1, 20092.08  
Apr 1, 20091.97  
Mar 1, 20091.63  
Feb 1, 20091.66  
Jan 1, 20091.21  
Dec 1, 20080.74  
Nov 1, 20082.72  
Oct 1, 20082.15  
Sep 1, 20082.35  
Aug 1, 20082.43  
Jul 1, 20082.42  
Jun 1, 20082.42  
May 1, 20082.48  
Apr 1, 20082.42  
Mar 1, 20082.59  
Feb 1, 20082.53  
Jan 1, 20082.42  
Dec 1, 20072.4  
Nov 1, 20072.44  
Oct 1, 20072.47  
Sep 1, 20072.46  
Aug 1, 20072.42  
Jul 1, 20072.44  
Jun 1, 20072.44  
May 1, 20072.38  
Apr 1, 20072.39  
Mar 1, 20072.32  
Feb 1, 20072.35  
Jan 1, 20072.36  
Dec 1, 20062.37  
Nov 1, 20062.45  
Oct 1, 20062.46  
Sep 1, 20062.51  
Aug 1, 20062.63  
Jul 1, 20062.58  
Jun 1, 20062.54  
May 1, 20062.62  
Apr 1, 20062.52  
Mar 1, 20062.41  
Feb 1, 20062.45  
Jan 1, 20062.4  
Dec 1, 20052.4  
Nov 1, 20052.48  
Oct 1, 20052.41  
Sep 1, 20052.39  
Aug 1, 20052.33  
Jul 1, 20052.29  
Jun 1, 20052.28  
May 1, 20052.41  
Apr 1, 20052.49  
Mar 1, 20052.54  
Feb 1, 20052.39  
Jan 1, 20052.42  
Dec 1, 20042.44  
Nov 1, 20042.39  
Oct 1, 20042.36  
Sep 1, 20042.4  
Aug 1, 20042.49  
Jul 1, 20042.56  
Jun 1, 20042.64  
May 1, 20042.75  
Apr 1, 20042.53  
Mar 1, 20042.45  
Feb 1, 20042.43  
Jan 1, 20042.49  
Dec 1, 20032.54  
Nov 1, 20032.66  
Oct 1, 20032.44  
Sep 1, 20032.27  
Aug 1, 20032.37  
Jul 1, 20032.17  
Jun 1, 20031.86  
May 1, 20031.98  
Apr 1, 20031.99  
Mar 1, 20032.05  
Feb 1, 20032.16  

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