USA08163AA41 Profile

A08163AA4   92.62  2.94  3.28%   

Market Performance

0 of 100

Odds Of Default

Less than 41

BRF GMBH percent 29Sep2026 is a Senior Unsecured Note issued by the corporate entity. The bond matures on the 29th of September 2026. A08163AA4 is trading at 92.62 as of the 24th of March 2023, a 3.28 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The bond's open price was 89.68. A08163AA4 has about a 41 percent probability of financial distress in the next few years of operation and has generated negative returns over the last 90 days. Ratings for USA08163AA41 are calculated daily based on our scoring framework. The performance scores are derived for the period starting the 25th of September 2022 and ending today, the 24th of March 2023. Click here to learn more.

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A08163AA4 Bond Highlights

Most reasonable investors view market volatility as an opportunity to invest at a favorable price or to sell short against a bearish trend. A08163AA4's investment highlights are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding A08163AA4 or challenge it. These highlights can help you better understand the position you are entering and avoid costly mistakes.
Fama & French Classification
Sub Product AssetCORP
Sub Product Asset TypeCorporate Bond
NameBRF GMBH percent 29Sep2026
C U S I PA08163AA4
Update Date28th of February 2023
Moody Rating Update Date28th of February 2023
Debt TypeSenior Unsecured Note
S P Rating Update Date28th of February 2023
I S I NUSA08163AA41
Maturity Date29th of September 2026
USA08163AA41 (A08163AA4) is traded in USA.

A08163AA4 Target Price Odds Analysis

What are A08163AA4's target price odds to finish over the current price? Depending on a normal probability distribution, the odds of A08163AA4 jumping above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.65%. The USA08163AA41 probability density function shows the probability of A08163AA4 bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon A08163AA4 has a beta of 0.1262. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, A08163AA4 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding USA08163AA41 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally, the company has an alpha of 0.0648, implying that it can generate a 0.0648 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
  Odds Below 92.62HorizonTargetOdds Above 92.62
92.17%90 days
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of A08163AA4 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.65 (This USA08163AA41 probability density function shows the probability of A08163AA4 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .

USA08163AA41 Risk Profiles

Investors will always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment while minimizing volatility. A08163AA4 market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding A08163AA4 long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in A08163AA4. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Although A08163AA4's alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate A08163AA4's performance over the market, the standard measures of volatility play an important role as well.

A08163AA4 Against Markets

Picking the right benchmark for A08163AA4 bond is fundamental to making educated investment choices. Many naive investors compare their positions with the S&P 500 or with the Nasdaq. But these benchmarks are not all-inclusive and generally should be used only for large-capitalization equities or stock offerings from large companies. When the price of a selected benchmark declines in a down market, there may be an uptick in A08163AA4 bond price where buyers come in believing the asset is cheap. The opposite is true when the market is bullish; so, accurately picking the benchmark for A08163AA4 is critical whether you are bullish or bearish towards USA08163AA41 at a given time.