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American Airlines Earnings Estimate

AAL Stock  USD 13.89  0.86  6.60%   
The next projected EPS of American Airlines is estimated to be -0.29 with future projections ranging from a low of -0.34 to a high of -0.15. American Airlines' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.21. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for American Airlines Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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American Airlines is projected to generate -0.29 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2024. American Airlines earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected American Airlines Group EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Many public companies, such as American Airlines, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing American Airlines' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across American Airlines' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. At this time, American Airlines' Pretax Profit Margin is quite stable compared to the past year. Operating Profit Margin is expected to rise to 0.08 this year, although the value of Gross Profit will most likely fall to about 8.5 B.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Airlines Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

American Airlines Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of American Airlines' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of American Airlines is estimated to be -0.29 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.34 to a high of -0.15. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for American Airlines Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.29
-0.34
Lowest
Expected EPS
-0.29
-0.15
Highest

American Airlines Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of American Airlines' value are higher than the current market price of the American Airlines stock. In this case, investors may conclude that American Airlines is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and American Airlines' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2024Current EPS (TTM)
1880.24%
0.29
-0.29
1.21

American Airlines Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of American Airlines refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering American Airlines Group predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of American Airlines, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

American Airlines Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as American Airlines, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of American Airlines should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

American Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact American Airlines' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-01-25
2023-12-310.10.290.19190 
2023-10-19
2023-09-300.250.380.1352 
2023-07-20
2023-06-301.591.920.3320 
2023-04-27
2023-03-310.050.050.0
2023-01-26
2022-12-311.141.170.03
2022-10-20
2022-09-300.560.690.1323 
2022-07-21
2022-06-300.760.760.0
2022-04-21
2022-03-31-2.4-2.320.08
2022-01-20
2021-12-31-1.48-1.420.06
2021-10-21
2021-09-30-1.04-0.990.05
2021-07-22
2021-06-30-1.96-1.690.2713 
2021-04-22
2021-03-31-4.31-4.32-0.01
2021-01-28
2020-12-31-4.11-3.860.25
2020-10-18
2020-09-30-5.88-5.540.34
2020-07-23
2020-06-30-7.7-7.82-0.12
2020-04-30
2020-03-31-2.33-2.65-0.3213 
2020-01-23
2019-12-311.141.150.01
2019-10-24
2019-09-301.41.420.02
2019-07-25
2019-06-301.81.820.02
2019-04-26
2019-03-310.510.520.01
2019-01-24
2018-12-311.011.040.03
2018-10-25
2018-09-301.131.130.0
2018-07-26
2018-06-301.591.630.04
2018-04-26
2018-03-310.720.750.03
2018-01-25
2017-12-310.920.950.03
2017-10-26
2017-09-301.41.420.02
2017-07-28
2017-06-301.871.920.05
2017-04-27
2017-03-310.570.610.04
2017-01-27
2016-12-310.920.920.0
2016-10-20
2016-09-301.691.760.07
2016-07-22
2016-06-301.681.770.09
2016-04-22
2016-03-311.191.990.867 
2016-01-29
2015-12-311.972.00.03
2015-10-23
2015-09-302.722.770.05
2015-07-24
2015-06-302.62.620.02
2015-04-24
2015-03-311.711.730.02
2015-01-27
2014-12-311.51.520.02
2014-10-23
2014-09-301.631.660.03
2014-07-24
2014-06-301.951.980.03
2014-04-24
2014-03-310.480.540.0612 
2014-01-28
2013-12-310.550.590.04
2013-10-17
2013-09-301.341.370.03
2013-07-18
2013-06-300.80.920.1215 
2013-04-18
2013-03-31-0.090.020.11122 
2013-01-16
2012-12-31-0.52-0.230.2955 
2012-10-17
2012-09-300.280.330.0517 
2012-07-18
2012-06-30-0.040.280.32800 
2012-04-19
2012-03-31-1.43-0.740.6948 
2012-02-15
2011-12-31-1.01-1.2-0.1918 
2011-10-19
2011-09-30-0.41-0.48-0.0717 
2011-07-20
2011-06-30-0.81-0.85-0.04
2011-04-20
2011-03-31-1.32-1.210.11
2011-01-19
2010-12-31-0.32-0.210.1134 
2010-10-20
2010-09-300.320.390.0721 
2010-07-21
2010-06-30-0.01-0.03-0.02200 
2010-04-21
2010-03-31-1.31-1.36-0.05
2010-01-20
2009-12-31-1.22-1.25-0.03
2009-10-21
2009-09-30-0.95-0.930.02
2009-07-15
2009-06-30-1.28-1.140.1410 
2009-04-15
2009-03-31-1.68-1.30.3822 
2009-01-21
2008-12-31-0.77-0.770.0
2008-10-15
2008-09-30-1.4-1.390.01
2008-07-16
2008-06-30-1.4-1.130.2719 
2008-04-16
2008-03-31-1.34-1.320.02
2008-01-16
2007-12-31-0.75-0.740.01
2007-10-17
2007-09-300.730.740.01
2007-07-18
2007-06-301.191.08-0.11
2007-04-18
2007-03-310.30.30.0
2007-01-17
2006-12-31-0.130.070.2153 
2006-10-18
2006-09-300.420.450.03
2006-07-19
2006-06-301.141.140.0
2006-04-19
2006-03-31-0.77-0.490.2836 
2006-01-18
2005-12-31-2.5-2.390.11
2005-10-19
2005-09-30-0.55-0.58-0.03
2005-07-20
2005-06-300.150.30.15100 
2005-04-20
2005-03-31-1.61-1.430.1811 
2005-01-19
2004-12-31-3.18-2.940.24
2004-10-20
2004-09-30-1.51-1.450.06
2004-07-21
2004-06-30-0.1-0.15-0.0550 
2004-04-21
2004-03-31-1.04-1.030.01
2004-01-21
2003-12-31-1.01-0.590.4241 
2003-10-22
2003-09-30-0.4-0.150.2562 
2003-07-16
2003-06-30-2.65-2.260.3914 
2003-04-23
2003-03-31-6.08-6.68-0.6
2003-01-22
2002-12-31-3.73-3.390.34
2002-10-16
2002-09-30-3.02-3.05-0.03
2002-07-17
2002-06-30-3.04-3.00.04
2002-04-17
2002-03-31-3.55-3.530.02
2002-01-16
2001-12-31-5.08-4.750.33
2001-10-24
2001-09-30-2.63-3.4-0.7729 
2001-07-18
2001-06-30-0.69-0.680.01
2001-04-18
2001-03-31-0.31-0.280.03
2001-01-17
2000-12-310.320.340.02
2000-10-18
2000-09-301.751.960.2112 
2000-07-19
2000-06-301.551.750.212 
2000-04-19
2000-03-310.40.570.1742 
2000-01-19
1999-12-310.650.690.04
1999-10-20
1999-09-301.71.760.06
1999-07-21
1999-06-301.661.70.04
1999-04-21
1999-03-310.340.340.0
1999-01-20
1998-12-311.181.0-0.1815 
1998-10-21
1998-09-302.322.480.16
1998-07-15
1998-06-302.222.380.16
1998-04-15
1998-03-311.281.620.3426 
1998-01-21
1997-12-311.091.170.08
1997-10-15
1997-09-301.651.780.13
1997-07-16
1997-06-301.611.630.02
1997-04-16
1997-03-310.710.830.1216 
1997-01-15
1996-12-310.640.670.03
1996-10-16
1996-09-301.521.530.01
1996-07-17
1996-06-301.591.60.01
1996-04-17
1996-03-310.730.920.1926 

About American Airlines Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of American Airlines earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current American Airlines estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as American Airlines fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings-7.7 B-7.3 B
Retained Earnings Total Equity-9.8 B-10.3 B
Earnings Yield 0.09  0.1 
Price Earnings Ratio 10.93  11.47 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio 0.02  0.02 

Pair Trading with American Airlines

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if American Airlines position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Airlines will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to American Airlines could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace American Airlines when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back American Airlines - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling American Airlines Group to buy it.
The correlation of American Airlines is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as American Airlines moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if American Airlines moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for American Airlines can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether American Airlines is a strong investment it is important to analyze American Airlines' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American Airlines' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Airlines Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Note that the American Airlines information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Airlines' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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Is American Airlines' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Airlines. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Airlines listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.97)
Earnings Share
1.21
Revenue Per Share
80.764
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Return On Assets
0.0396
The market value of American Airlines is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Airlines' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Airlines' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Airlines' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Airlines' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Airlines' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Airlines is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Airlines' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.