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Archer Daniels Earnings Estimate

ADM Stock  USD 60.42  0.15  0.25%   
The next projected EPS of Archer Daniels is estimated to be 1.37 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.2 to a high of 1.53. Archer Daniels' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 6.43. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Archer Daniels Midland is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Archer Daniels is projected to generate 1.37 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2024. Archer Daniels earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Archer Daniels Midland EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Archer Daniels, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Archer Daniels' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Archer Daniels' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. As of the 18th of April 2024, Gross Profit is likely to grow to about 6.6 B. Also, Pretax Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.05
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Archer Daniels Midland. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Archer Daniels Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Archer Daniels' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Archer Daniels is estimated to be 1.37 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.2 to a high of 1.53. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Archer Daniels Midland is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
1.36
1.20
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.37
1.53
Highest

Archer Daniels Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Archer Daniels' value are higher than the current market price of the Archer Daniels stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Archer Daniels is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Archer Daniels' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2024Current EPS (TTM)
1685.77%
1.36
1.37
6.43

Archer Daniels Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Archer Daniels Midland analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Archer Daniels' stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Archer Daniels' upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Archer Daniels Quarterly Gross Profit

1.06 Billion

At this time, Archer Daniels' Retained Earnings are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 18th of April 2024, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 18.38, while Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop about 17.2 B. As of the 18th of April 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 552.7 M. Also, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 5.2 B.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Archer Daniels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.9660.4263.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.0249.4866.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
55.2158.6862.14
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
87.9296.62107.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Archer Daniels. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Archer Daniels' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Archer Daniels' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Archer Daniels Midland. Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Archer assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Archer Daniels. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Archer Daniels' stock price in the short term.

Archer Daniels Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Archer Daniels refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Archer Daniels Midland predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Archer Daniels, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Archer Daniels Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Archer Daniels, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Archer Daniels should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Archer Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Archer Daniels' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-03-12
2023-12-311.431.36-0.07
2023-10-24
2023-09-301.521.630.11
2023-07-25
2023-06-301.61.890.2918 
2023-04-25
2023-03-311.782.090.3117 
2023-01-26
2022-12-311.651.930.2816 
2022-10-25
2022-09-301.441.860.4229 
2022-07-26
2022-06-301.712.150.4425 
2022-04-26
2022-03-311.411.90.4934 
2022-01-25
2021-12-311.371.50.13
2021-10-26
2021-09-300.890.970.08
2021-07-27
2021-06-301.031.330.329 
2021-04-27
2021-03-311.041.390.3533 
2021-01-26
2020-12-311.11.210.1110 
2020-10-29
2020-09-300.710.890.1825 
2020-07-29
2020-06-300.510.850.3466 
2020-04-29
2020-03-310.550.640.0916 
2020-01-29
2019-12-310.690.810.1217 
2019-10-31
2019-09-300.690.770.0811 
2019-08-01
2019-06-300.610.6-0.01
2019-04-26
2019-03-310.60.46-0.1423 
2019-02-05
2018-12-310.920.88-0.04
2018-11-06
2018-09-300.830.920.0910 
2018-07-31
2018-06-300.771.020.2532 
2018-05-01
2018-03-310.50.680.1836 
2018-02-06
2017-12-310.70.820.1217 
2017-10-31
2017-09-300.550.45-0.118 
2017-08-01
2017-06-300.520.570.05
2017-05-02
2017-03-310.620.6-0.02
2017-02-07
2016-12-310.770.75-0.02
2016-11-01
2016-09-300.460.590.1328 
2016-08-02
2016-06-300.450.41-0.04
2016-05-03
2016-03-310.450.42-0.03
2016-02-02
2015-12-310.640.61-0.03
2015-11-03
2015-09-300.70.6-0.114 
2015-08-04
2015-06-300.660.6-0.06
2015-05-05
2015-03-310.710.770.06
2015-02-03
2014-12-310.941.00.06
2014-11-04
2014-09-300.730.810.0810 
2014-08-05
2014-06-300.730.770.04
2014-04-29
2014-03-310.740.64-0.113 
2014-02-04
2013-12-310.850.950.111 
2013-10-29
2013-09-300.470.46-0.01
2013-08-06
2013-06-300.440.460.02
2013-05-01
2013-03-310.510.48-0.03
2013-02-05
2012-12-310.580.60.02
2012-10-30
2012-09-300.450.450.0
2012-07-31
2012-06-300.60.38-0.2236 
2012-05-01
2012-03-310.590.680.0915 
2012-01-31
2011-12-310.760.45-0.3140 
2011-11-01
2011-09-300.670.690.02
2011-08-02
2011-06-300.851.010.1618 
2011-05-03
2011-03-310.860.860.0
2011-02-01
2010-12-310.781.060.2835 
2010-11-02
2010-09-300.750.54-0.2128 
2010-08-03
2010-06-300.530.690.1630 
2010-05-04
2010-03-310.710.720.01
2010-02-02
2009-12-310.720.880.1622 
2009-11-03
2009-09-300.570.770.235 
2009-08-04
2009-06-300.450.2-0.2555 
2009-05-05
2009-03-310.490.34-0.1530 
2009-02-03
2008-12-310.680.910.2333 
2008-11-04
2008-09-300.691.610.92133 
2008-08-05
2008-06-300.670.58-0.0913 
2008-04-29
2008-03-310.70.80.114 
2008-02-04
2007-12-310.740.750.01
2007-11-06
2007-09-300.590.710.1220 
2007-07-30
2007-06-300.590.590.0
2007-05-01
2007-03-310.610.51-0.116 
2007-02-01
2006-12-310.60.670.0711 
2006-10-31
2006-09-300.550.610.0610 
2006-08-01
2006-06-300.520.620.119 
2006-05-02
2006-03-310.460.540.0817 
2006-01-31
2005-12-310.420.540.1228 
2005-10-28
2005-09-300.330.32-0.01
2005-07-29
2005-06-300.280.30.02
2005-04-29
2005-03-310.40.3-0.125 
2005-01-28
2004-12-310.390.410.02
2004-10-29
2004-09-300.270.410.1451 
2004-07-30
2004-06-300.240.23-0.01
2004-04-30
2004-03-310.270.330.0622 
2004-01-30
2003-12-310.270.370.137 
2003-10-31
2003-09-300.190.230.0421 
2003-07-24
2003-06-300.150.160.01
2003-04-23
2003-03-310.190.18-0.01
2003-01-24
2002-12-310.180.180.0
2002-10-23
2002-09-300.120.170.0541 
2002-07-24
2002-06-300.180.12-0.0633 
2002-04-23
2002-03-310.180.17-0.01
2002-01-23
2001-12-310.240.23-0.01
2001-10-22
2001-09-300.130.180.0538 
2001-07-23
2001-06-300.160.13-0.0318 
2001-04-23
2001-03-310.220.14-0.0836 
2001-01-19
2000-12-310.170.190.0211 
2000-10-19
2000-09-300.110.160.0545 
2000-07-21
2000-06-300.170.190.0211 
2000-04-17
2000-03-310.150.150.0
2000-01-18
1999-12-310.110.150.0436 
1999-10-15
1999-09-300.10.05-0.0550 
1999-07-16
1999-06-300.050.060.0120 
1999-04-16
1999-03-310.150.02-0.1386 
1999-01-19
1998-12-310.160.160.0
1998-10-15
1998-09-300.120.09-0.0325 
1998-08-06
1998-06-300.170.09-0.0847 
1998-04-16
1998-03-310.220.16-0.0627 
1998-01-16
1997-12-310.260.2-0.0623 
1997-10-15
1997-09-300.210.17-0.0419 
1997-07-16
1997-06-300.130.180.0538 
1997-04-15
1997-03-310.220.08-0.1463 
1997-01-16
1996-12-310.320.26-0.0618 
1996-10-15
1996-09-300.20.240.0420 
1996-07-15
1996-06-300.220.220.0
1996-04-15
1996-03-310.220.250.0313 

About Archer Daniels Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Archer Daniels earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Archer Daniels estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Archer Daniels fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings26.2 B27.5 B
Retained Earnings Total Equity27.2 B17.2 B
Earnings Yield 0.09  0.05 
Price Earnings Ratio 11.22  18.38 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio(0.68)(0.64)

Pair Trading with Archer Daniels

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Archer Daniels position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Archer Daniels will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Archer Daniels could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Archer Daniels when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Archer Daniels - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Archer Daniels Midland to buy it.
The correlation of Archer Daniels is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Archer Daniels moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Archer Daniels Midland moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Archer Daniels can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Archer Daniels Midland is a strong investment it is important to analyze Archer Daniels' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Archer Daniels' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Archer Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Archer Daniels Midland. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
Note that the Archer Daniels Midland information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Archer Daniels' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

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Is Archer Daniels' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Archer Daniels. If investors know Archer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Archer Daniels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.42)
Dividend Share
1.8
Earnings Share
6.43
Revenue Per Share
173.632
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
The market value of Archer Daniels Midland is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Archer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Archer Daniels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Archer Daniels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Archer Daniels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Archer Daniels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Archer Daniels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Archer Daniels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Archer Daniels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.