ADTRAN Earnings Estimate

ADTN Stock  USD 8.91  0.10  1.14%   
Many public companies, such as ADTRAN, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing ADTRAN's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across ADTRAN's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
ADTRAN is projected to generate -0.04 in earnings per share on the 30th of June 2023. ADTRAN earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected ADTRAN Inc EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios.
  
As of 31st of May 2023, Gross Profit is likely to drop to about 286.5 M. In addition to that, Profit Margin is likely to drop to -0.0021

ADTRAN Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of earning per share of ADTRAN Inc is based on the official Zacks consensus of 1 analysts regarding ADTRAN's future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 39.59%, ADTRAN's future earnings per share of ADTRAN is estimated to be -0.04 with the lowest and highest values of -0.04 and -0.04, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for ADTRAN Inc is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and includes employee stock options expenses
  Current EPS -0.45
-0.04
Lowest
Expected EPS -0.04
-0.04
Highest

ADTRAN Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of ADTRAN's value are higher than the current market price of the ADTRAN stock. In this case, investors may conclude that ADTRAN is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and ADTRAN's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 30th of June 2023
139.59%-0.45-0.04

ADTRAN Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by ADTRAN Inc analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge ADTRAN's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only ADTRAN's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

ADTRAN Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

(9.09 Million)

ADTRAN Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit are very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. ADTRAN reported last year Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit of 55.34 Million. As of 31st of May 2023, Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is likely to grow to about 7.1 M, while Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT is likely to drop (62.3 M). As of 31st of May 2023, Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares is likely to grow to about 7.4 M, while Weighted Average Shares is likely to drop about 55 M.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of ADTRAN's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of ADTRAN in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.269.1813.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.5511.4615.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.587.5011.42
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.0017.5026.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ADTRAN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ADTRAN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ADTRAN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ADTRAN Inc.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of ADTRAN assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards ADTRAN. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving ADTRAN's stock price in the short term.

ADTRAN Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of ADTRAN refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering ADTRAN Inc predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of ADTRAN, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

ADTRAN Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as ADTRAN, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of ADTRAN should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

About ADTRAN Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of ADTRAN earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current ADTRAN estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as ADTRAN fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in ADTRAN without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Pair Trading with ADTRAN

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ADTRAN position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ADTRAN will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to ADTRAN could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ADTRAN when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ADTRAN - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ADTRAN Inc to buy it.
The correlation of ADTRAN is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ADTRAN moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ADTRAN Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ADTRAN can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. You can also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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Is ADTRAN's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ADTRAN. If investors know ADTRAN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ADTRAN listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.60) 
Dividend Share
0.36
Earnings Share
(0.45) 
Revenue Per Share
17.154
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.096
The market value of ADTRAN Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ADTRAN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ADTRAN's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ADTRAN's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ADTRAN's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ADTRAN's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ADTRAN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ADTRAN is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ADTRAN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios.