Amazon Earnings Estimate

AMZN -  USA Stock  

USD 3,696  191.50  5.46%

Many public companies, such as Amazon, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Amazon's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Amazon's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Amazon is projected to generate 52.18 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2021. Amazon earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Amazon Inc EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Please continue to Trending Equities.

Amazon Earnings Estimates 

 
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Gross Profit is expected to rise to about 164.8 B this year. Profit Margin is expected to rise to 0.06 this year

Amazon Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of Amazon Inc is based on official Zacks consensus of 11 analysts regarding Amazon future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 76.79%, the future earnings per share of Amazon is estimated to be 52.18 with the lowest and highest values of 45.2 and 61.44, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Amazon Inc is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
Current EPS
52.56
29th of November 2021
45.20
Lowest
Estimated EPS
52.18
61.44
Highest

Amazon Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Amazon's value are higher than the current market price of the Amazon stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Amazon is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Amazon's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2021

11

76.79%

52.56

52.18

Amazon Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Amazon Inc analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Amazon's stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Amazon's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

Amazon Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

13.75 BillionShare
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit is expected to rise to about 56.7 B this year. Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT is expected to rise to about 27.9 B this year Amazon Weighted Average Shares is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Weighted Average Shares is estimated at 535.47 Million. Weighted Average Shares Diluted is expected to rise to about 545.5 M this year, although the value of Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares will most likely fall to (932.2 M).
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amazon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Amazon in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
3,6853,6874,066
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
3,3263,9713,973
Details
31 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
3,8004,1265,000
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amazon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amazon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amazon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Amazon Inc.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Amazon assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Amazon. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Amazon stock price in the short term.

Amazon Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Amazon refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Amazon Inc predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Amazon, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Amazon Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Amazon, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Amazon should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Amazon Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Amazon's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-10-28
2021-09-308.89646.12-2.776431 
2021-07-29
2021-06-3012.28715.122.83323 
2021-04-29
2021-03-319.438515.796.351567 
2021-02-02
2020-12-317.041414.097.0486100 
2020-10-29
2020-09-307.531212.374.838864 
2020-07-30
2020-06-301.601710.38.6983543 
2020-04-30
2020-03-316.24895.01-1.238919 
2020-01-30
2019-12-313.97366.472.496462 
2019-10-24
2019-09-304.48994.23-0.2599
2019-07-25
2019-06-305.54325.22-0.3232
2019-04-25
2019-03-314.67557.092.414551 
2019-01-31
2018-12-315.51416.040.5259
2018-10-25
2018-09-303.08785.752.662286 
2018-07-26
2018-06-302.54345.072.526699 
2018-04-26
2018-03-311.21783.272.0522168 
2018-02-01
2017-12-311.83172.15120.319517 
2017-10-26
2017-09-300.01450.520.50553486 
2017-07-27
2017-06-301.39690.4-0.996971 
2017-04-27
2017-03-311.1021.480.37834 
2017-02-02
2016-12-311.42081.540.1192
2016-10-27
2016-09-300.80930.52-0.289335 
2016-07-28
2016-06-301.1171.780.66359 
2016-04-28
2016-03-310.61411.070.455974 
2016-01-28
2015-12-311.59411-0.594137 
2015-10-22
2015-09-30-0.140.170.31221 
2015-07-23
2015-06-30-0.140.190.33235 
2015-04-23
2015-03-31-0.12-0.120
2015-01-29
2014-12-310.170.450.28164 
2014-10-23
2014-09-30-0.73-0.95-0.2230 
2014-07-24
2014-06-30-0.15-0.27-0.1280 
2014-04-24
2014-03-310.230.230
2014-01-30
2013-12-310.660.51-0.1522 
2013-10-24
2013-09-30-0.09-0.090
2013-07-25
2013-06-300.05-0.02-0.07140 
2013-04-25
2013-03-310.080.180.1125 
2013-01-29
2012-12-310.280.21-0.0725 
2012-10-25
2012-09-30-0.08-0.23-0.15187 
2012-07-26
2012-06-300.020.160.14700 
2012-04-26
2012-03-310.070.280.21300 
2012-01-31
2011-12-310.170.380.21123 
2011-10-25
2011-09-300.240.14-0.141 
2011-07-26
2011-06-300.350.410.0617 
2011-04-26
2011-03-310.610.44-0.1727 
2011-01-27
2010-12-310.880.910.03
2010-10-21
2010-09-300.480.510.03
2010-07-22
2010-06-300.540.45-0.0916 
2010-04-22
2010-03-310.610.660.05
2010-01-28
2009-12-310.720.850.1318 
2009-10-22
2009-09-300.330.450.1236 
2009-07-23
2009-06-300.310.320.01
2009-04-23
2009-03-310.310.410.132 
2009-01-29
2008-12-310.390.520.1333 
2008-10-22
2008-09-300.250.270.02
2008-07-23
2008-06-300.260.370.1142 
2008-04-23
2008-03-310.320.340.02
2008-01-30
2007-12-310.480.480
2007-10-23
2007-09-300.180.190.01
2007-07-24
2007-06-300.160.190.0318 
2007-04-24
2007-03-310.150.260.1173 
2007-02-01
2006-12-310.210.230.02
2006-10-24
2006-09-300.030.050.0266 
2006-07-25
2006-06-300.060.05-0.0116 
2006-04-25
2006-03-310.120.120
2006-02-02
2005-12-310.210.470.26123 
2005-10-25
2005-09-300.10.07-0.0330 
2005-07-26
2005-06-300.110.120.01
2005-04-26
2005-03-310.230.18-0.0521 
2005-02-02
2004-12-310.40.35-0.0512 
2004-10-21
2004-09-300.180.17-0.01
2004-07-22
2004-06-300.190.18-0.01
2004-04-22
2004-03-310.20.230.0315 
2004-01-27
2003-12-310.290.290
2003-10-21
2003-09-300.10.110.0110 
2003-07-22
2003-06-300.060.10.0466 
2003-04-24
2003-03-310.040.10.06150 
2003-01-23
2002-12-310.140.190.0535 
2002-10-24
2002-09-30-0.04-0.0924-0.0524131 
2002-07-23
2002-06-30-0.06-0.010.0583 
2002-04-23
2002-03-31-0.09-0.010.0888 
2002-01-22
2001-12-31-0.070.090.16228 
2001-10-23
2001-09-30-0.16-0.160
2001-07-23
2001-06-30-0.22-0.160.0627 
2001-04-24
2001-03-31-0.25-0.210.0416 
2001-01-30
2000-12-31-0.26-0.250.01
2000-10-24
2000-09-30-0.29-0.250.0413 
2000-07-26
2000-06-30-0.35-0.330.02
2000-04-26
2000-03-31-0.36-0.350.01
2000-02-02
1999-12-31-0.49-0.55-0.0612 
1999-10-27
1999-09-30-0.28-0.260.02
1999-07-21
1999-06-30-0.26-0.250.01
1999-04-28
1999-03-31-0.14-0.110.0321 
1999-01-26
1998-12-31-0.09-0.070.0222 
1998-10-28
1998-09-30-0.1-0.080.0220 
1998-07-22
1998-06-30-0.07-0.070
1998-04-27
1998-03-31-0.04-0.030.0125 
1998-01-22
1997-12-31-0.04-0.030.0125 
1997-10-27
1997-09-30-0.03-0.030
1997-07-10
1997-06-30-0.03-0.020.0133 

About Amazon Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Amazon earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Amazon estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Amazon fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2021
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit52.6 B56.7 B
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT25.8 B27.9 B
Earnings per Basic Share 42.64  46.01 
Earnings per Diluted Share 41.83  45.13 
Price to Earnings Ratio 76.38  82.41 
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA51.1 B55.1 B
Earnings before Tax24.2 B26.1 B
Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products and subscriptions in North America and internationally. Amazon.com, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington. Amazon operates under Internet Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1335000 people.

Amazon Investors Sentiment

The influence of Amazon's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Amazon. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Amazon Implied Volatility

    
  37.16  
Amazon's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Amazon Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Amazon's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Amazon stock will not fluctuate a lot when Amazon's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Amazon in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Amazon's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Amazon options trading.

Current Sentiment - AMZN

Amazon Inc Investor Sentiment

Majority of Macroaxis users are presently bullish on Amazon Inc. What is your sentiment towards investing in Amazon Inc? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Pair Trading with Amazon

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Amazon position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Amazon will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Amazon Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Amazon and Farfetch Ltd Cl. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
Run Pair Correlation  
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Amazon Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Amazon's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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Is Amazon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amazon. If investors know Amazon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Amazon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Amazon Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amazon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amazon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amazon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amazon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amazon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amazon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Amazon value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amazon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.