Arcos Dorados Earnings Estimate

ARCO Stock  USD 9.74  0.49  4.79%   
Many public companies, such as Arcos Dorados, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Arcos Dorados' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Arcos Dorados' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. .
Arcos Dorados is projected to generate 0.2 in earnings per share on the 30th of September 2023. Arcos Dorados earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Arcos Dorados Holdings EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. As of 22nd of September 2023, Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.0421, while Gross Profit is likely to drop about 428.9 M.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arcos Dorados Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.

Arcos Dorados Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of earning per share of Arcos Dorados Holdings is based on the official Zacks consensus of 1 analysts regarding Arcos Dorados' future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 51.63%, Arcos Dorados' future earnings per share of Arcos Dorados is estimated to be 0.2 with the lowest and highest values of 0.2 and 0.2, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Arcos Dorados Holdings is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and includes employee stock options expenses
  Current EPS 0.79
0.20
Lowest
Expected EPS 0.2
0.20
Highest

Arcos Dorados Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Arcos Dorados' value are higher than the current market price of the Arcos Dorados stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Arcos Dorados is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Arcos Dorados' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 30th of September 2023
151.63%0.790.2

Arcos Dorados Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Arcos Dorados Holdings analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Arcos Dorados' stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Arcos Dorados' upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Arcos Dorados Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

114.32 Million

Arcos Dorados Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit are very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Arcos Dorados reported last year Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit of 424.94 Million. As of 22nd of September 2023, Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT is likely to grow to about 290.9 M, while Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA are likely to drop about 347.9 M. As of 22nd of September 2023, Weighted Average Shares is likely to drop to about 202.3 M. In addition to that, Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares is likely to drop to about (17.3 M).
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arcos Dorados' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Arcos Dorados in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.659.7411.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.9010.9913.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.859.9412.04
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.5013.5015.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Arcos Dorados. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Arcos Dorados' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Arcos Dorados' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Arcos Dorados Holdings. Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Arcos assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Arcos Dorados. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Arcos Dorados' stock price in the short term.

Arcos Dorados Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Arcos Dorados refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Arcos Dorados Holdings predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Arcos Dorados, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Arcos Dorados Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Arcos Dorados, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Arcos Dorados should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Arcos Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Arcos Dorados' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-08-17
2023-06-300.140.13-0.01
2023-05-17
2023-03-310.140.180.0428 
2023-03-15
2022-12-310.230.260.0313 
2022-11-16
2022-09-300.10.230.13130 
2022-08-10
2022-06-300.130.07-0.0646 
2022-05-18
2022-03-310.060.120.06100 
2022-03-16
2021-12-310.160.220.0637 
2021-11-10
2021-09-300.060.120.06100 
2021-08-11
2021-06-30-0.030.030.06200 
2021-05-12
2021-03-31-0.01-0.14-0.131300 
2021-03-17
2020-12-310.00810.120.11191381 
2020-11-11
2020-09-30-0.17-0.140.0317 
2020-08-12
2020-06-30-0.37-0.43-0.0616 
2020-05-13
2020-03-31-0.01-0.24-0.232300 
2020-03-18
2019-12-310.070.180.11157 
2019-11-13
2019-09-300.080.130.0562 
2019-08-07
2019-06-300.080.05-0.0337 
2019-05-15
2019-03-310.080.07-0.0112 
2019-03-27
2018-12-310.250.09-0.1664 
2018-11-14
2018-09-300.090.20.11122 
2018-08-08
2018-06-300.040.050.0125 
2018-05-09
2018-03-310.080.06-0.0225 
2018-03-21
2017-12-310.110.320.21190 
2017-11-08
2017-09-300.04850.10860.0601123 
2017-08-09
2017-06-300.095-0.0197-0.1147120 
2017-05-03
2017-03-310.03890.18750.1486382 
2017-03-15
2016-12-310.060.10.0466 
2016-11-02
2016-09-300.0341-0.0099-0.044129 
2016-08-03
2016-06-30-0.010.210.222200 
2016-05-04
2016-03-31None0.08None
2016-03-16
2015-12-310.030.030
2015-11-04
2015-09-300.04-0.17-0.21525 
2015-08-11
2015-06-30-0.050.030.08160 
2015-05-12
2015-03-310.01-0.13-0.141400 
2015-03-17
2014-12-310.080.05-0.0337 
2014-11-04
2014-09-300.090.0011-0.088998 
2014-08-05
2014-06-30-0.07-0.46-0.39557 
2014-05-06
2014-03-310.040.040
2014-03-11
2013-12-310.20.16-0.0420 
2013-11-05
2013-09-300.130.150.0215 
2013-08-06
2013-06-300.060.05-0.0116 
2013-04-30
2013-03-310.050.04-0.0120 
2013-03-08
2012-12-310.210.210
2012-11-02
2012-09-300.150.160.01
2012-08-07
2012-06-300.070.06-0.0114 
2012-05-04
2012-03-310.170.12-0.0529 
2012-03-05
2011-12-310.220.230.01
2011-10-28
2011-09-300.220.1-0.1254 
2011-08-01
2011-06-300.070.070
2011-06-01
2011-03-31None0.1491None

About Arcos Dorados Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Arcos Dorados earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Arcos Dorados estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Arcos Dorados fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Arcos Dorados without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Pair Trading with Arcos Dorados

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Arcos Dorados position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Arcos Dorados will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Arcos Stock

+0.61SGSweetgreen Fiscal Quarter End 30th of September 2023 PairCorr
+0.65CCLCarnival Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr

Moving against Arcos Stock

-0.53FUNCedar Fair LP Fiscal Quarter End 30th of September 2023 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Arcos Dorados could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Arcos Dorados when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Arcos Dorados - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Arcos Dorados Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Arcos Dorados is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Arcos Dorados moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Arcos Dorados Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Arcos Dorados can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arcos Dorados Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest. Note that the Arcos Dorados Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Arcos Dorados' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

Complementary Tools for Arcos Stock analysis

When running Arcos Dorados' price analysis, check to measure Arcos Dorados' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arcos Dorados is operating at the current time. Most of Arcos Dorados' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arcos Dorados' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arcos Dorados' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arcos Dorados to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Arcos Dorados' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arcos Dorados. If investors know Arcos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arcos Dorados listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.89
Dividend Share
0.19
Earnings Share
0.79
Revenue Per Share
18.858
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.172
The market value of Arcos Dorados Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arcos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arcos Dorados' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arcos Dorados' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arcos Dorados' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arcos Dorados' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arcos Dorados' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arcos Dorados is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arcos Dorados' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.