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CF Industries Earnings Estimate

CF Stock  USD 79.59  1.79  2.30%   
The next projected EPS of CF Industries is estimated to be 1.53 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.34 to a high of 1.94. CF Industries' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 7.84. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for CF Industries Holdings is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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CF Industries is projected to generate 1.53 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2024. CF Industries earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected CF Industries Holdings EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Many public companies, such as CF Industries, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing CF Industries' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across CF Industries' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. At this time, CF Industries' Pretax Profit Margin is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The CF Industries' current Net Profit Margin is estimated to increase to 0.24, while Gross Profit is projected to decrease to roughly 1.5 B.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in CF Industries Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

CF Industries Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of CF Industries' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of CF Industries is estimated to be 1.53 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.34 to a high of 1.94. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for CF Industries Holdings is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
1.58
1.34
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.53
1.94
Highest

CF Industries Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of CF Industries' value are higher than the current market price of the CF Industries stock. In this case, investors may conclude that CF Industries is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and CF Industries' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2024Current EPS (TTM)
1787.13%
1.58
1.53
7.84

CF Industries Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of CF Industries refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering CF Industries Holdings predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of CF Industries, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

CF Industries Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as CF Industries, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of CF Industries should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

CF Industries Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact CF Industries' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-02-15
2023-12-311.571.580.01
2023-11-01
2023-09-301.031.140.1110 
2023-08-02
2023-06-302.252.710.4620 
2023-05-01
2023-03-312.522.90.3815 
2023-02-15
2022-12-314.34.28-0.02
2022-11-02
2022-09-303.332.27-1.0631 
2022-08-01
2022-06-306.036.190.16
2022-05-04
2022-03-314.354.21-0.14
2022-02-15
2021-12-313.553.27-0.28
2021-11-03
2021-09-300.99-0.86-1.85186 
2021-08-09
2021-06-301.571.15-0.4226 
2021-05-05
2021-03-310.60.730.1321 
2021-02-17
2020-12-310.110.40.29263 
2020-11-04
2020-09-300.07-0.09-0.16228 
2020-08-05
2020-06-300.650.890.2436 
2020-05-06
2020-03-310.250.310.0624 
2020-02-12
2019-12-310.260.330.0726 
2019-10-30
2019-09-300.350.370.02
2019-07-31
2019-06-300.861.120.2630 
2019-05-01
2019-03-310.350.27-0.0822 
2019-02-13
2018-12-310.450.21-0.2453 
2018-10-31
2018-09-300.140.13-0.01
2018-08-01
2018-06-300.450.630.1840 
2018-05-02
2018-03-310.260.24-0.02
2018-02-14
2017-12-31-0.08-0.020.0675 
2017-11-01
2017-09-30-0.54-0.390.1527 
2017-08-02
2017-06-30-0.040.10.14350 
2017-05-03
2017-03-310.020.050.03150 
2017-02-15
2016-12-31-0.05-0.39-0.34680 
2016-11-02
2016-09-30-0.030.130.16533 
2016-08-03
2016-06-300.680.33-0.3551 
2016-05-04
2016-03-310.450.4-0.0511 
2016-02-17
2015-12-310.820.76-0.06
2015-11-04
2015-09-300.730.49-0.2432 
2015-08-05
2015-06-301.491.590.1
2015-05-06
2015-03-310.920.970.05
2015-02-17
2014-12-311.020.96-0.06
2014-11-05
2014-09-300.690.52-0.1724 
2014-08-06
2014-06-301.341.22-0.12
2014-05-07
2014-03-310.910.9-0.01
2014-02-18
2013-12-310.91.010.1112 
2013-11-04
2013-09-300.80.78-0.02
2013-08-06
2013-06-301.521.710.1912 
2013-05-08
2013-03-311.21.210.01
2013-02-19
2012-12-311.391.450.06
2012-11-05
2012-09-301.141.170.03
2012-08-06
2012-06-301.781.74-0.04
2012-05-03
2012-03-310.971.210.2424 
2012-02-15
2011-12-311.371.430.06
2011-11-01
2011-09-300.981.030.05
2011-08-04
2011-06-301.191.370.1815 
2011-05-05
2011-03-310.630.760.1320 
2011-02-17
2010-12-310.510.530.02
2010-11-04
2010-09-300.290.22-0.0724 
2010-08-05
2010-06-300.630.55-0.0812 
2010-05-07
2010-03-310.250.310.0624 
2010-02-16
2009-12-310.230.18-0.0521 
2009-10-26
2009-09-300.20.16-0.0420 
2009-07-27
2009-06-300.520.870.3567 
2009-04-23
2009-03-310.140.260.1285 
2009-02-10
2008-12-310.420.720.371 
2008-10-27
2008-09-300.710.16-0.5577 
2008-07-28
2008-06-300.721.00.2838 
2008-04-24
2008-03-310.430.550.1227 
2008-02-07
2007-12-310.330.480.1545 
2007-10-29
2007-09-300.190.30.1157 
2007-07-30
2007-06-300.30.330.0310 
2007-04-26
2007-03-310.130.20.0753 
2007-02-08
2006-12-310.050.03-0.0240 
2006-10-26
2006-09-300.030.030.0
2006-07-27
2006-06-300.130.150.0215 
2006-04-27
2006-03-310.03-0.09-0.12400 
2006-02-23
2005-12-310.02-0.04-0.06300 
2005-11-09
2005-09-300.050.050.0

About CF Industries Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of CF Industries earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current CF Industries estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as CF Industries fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings4.5 B2.3 B
Retained Earnings Total Equity4.4 B2.8 B
Earnings Yield 0.1  0.05 
Price Earnings Ratio 10.08  5.22 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio(0.19)(0.20)

Pair Trading with CF Industries

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CF Industries position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CF Industries will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to CF Industries could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace CF Industries when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back CF Industries - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling CF Industries Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of CF Industries is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as CF Industries moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if CF Industries Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for CF Industries can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether CF Industries Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze CF Industries' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CF Industries' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CF Industries Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in CF Industries Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Note that the CF Industries Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other CF Industries' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

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When running CF Industries' price analysis, check to measure CF Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CF Industries is operating at the current time. Most of CF Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CF Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CF Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CF Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CF Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CF Industries. If investors know CF Industries will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CF Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.67)
Dividend Share
1.6
Earnings Share
7.84
Revenue Per Share
34.304
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.40)
The market value of CF Industries Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CF Industries that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CF Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CF Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CF Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CF Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CF Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CF Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CF Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.