New Oriental Earnings Estimate

EDU -  USA Stock  

USD 1.74  0.05  2.96%

Many public companies, such as New Oriental, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing New Oriental's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across New Oriental's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
New Oriental is projected to generate -0.27 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2022. New Oriental earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected New Oriental Education EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Continue to Investing Opportunities.

New Oriental Earnings Estimates 

 
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Gross Profit is likely to gain to about 2.8 B in 2022. Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.09 in 2022
Share

New Oriental Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of New Oriental Education is based on official Zacks consensus of 1 analysts regarding New Oriental future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 0.0%, the future earnings per share of New Oriental is estimated to be -0.27 with the lowest and highest values of -0.28 and -0.26, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for New Oriental Education is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
Current EPS
0.2
19th of January 2022
-0.28
Lowest
Estimated EPS
-0.27
-0.26
Highest

New Oriental Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of New Oriental's value are higher than the current market price of the New Oriental stock. In this case, investors may conclude that New Oriental is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and New Oriental's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2022

1

0.0%

0.2

-0.27

New Oriental Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by New Oriental Education analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge New Oriental's stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only New Oriental's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

New Oriental Quarterly Earnings before Tax

(74.79 Million)Share
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit is likely to gain to about 2.8 B in 2022, whereas Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT is likely to drop slightly above 420.9 M in 2022. Weighted Average Shares is likely to gain to about 1.9 B in 2022. Weighted Average Shares Diluted is likely to gain to about 1.9 B in 2022.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of New Oriental's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of New Oriental in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.091.846.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.122.406.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0337491.696.09
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
2.404.369.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as New Oriental. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against New Oriental's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, New Oriental's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in New Oriental Education.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of New Oriental assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards New Oriental. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving New Oriental stock price in the short term.

New Oriental Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of New Oriental refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering New Oriental Education predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of New Oriental, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

New Oriental Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as New Oriental, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of New Oriental should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

New Oriental Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact New Oriental's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-01-07
2021-11-30NoneNoneNone
2021-09-24
2021-08-310.0328-0.0011-0.0339103 
2021-08-17
2021-05-310.030.040.0133 
2021-04-20
2021-02-280.07350.10.026536 
2021-01-22
2020-11-300.03340.0430.009628 
2020-10-13
2020-08-310.10460.1150.0104
2020-07-28
2020-05-310.03450.03-0.004513 
2020-04-21
2020-02-290.0780.0930.01519 
2020-01-20
2019-11-300.02060.0360.015474 
2019-10-22
2019-08-310.13830.1440.0057
2019-07-23
2019-05-310.06640.06-0.0064
2019-04-23
2019-02-280.07030.069-0.0013
2019-01-22
2018-11-300.00570.0140.0083145 
2018-10-23
2018-08-310.11820.116-0.0022
2018-07-24
2018-05-310.05220.0550.0028
2018-04-24
2018-02-280.05240.0570.0046
2018-01-23
2017-11-300.01070.009-0.001715 
2017-10-24
2017-08-310.10370.102-0.0017
2017-07-25
2017-05-310.03820.0410.0028
2017-04-24
2017-02-280.04210.0480.005914 
2017-01-17
2016-11-300.00850.008-0.0005
2016-10-25
2016-08-310.08980.090.0002
2016-07-20
2016-05-310.02920.290.2608893 
2016-04-19
2016-02-290.32930.340.0107
2016-01-19
2015-11-30None0.04None
2015-10-20
2015-08-310.740.820.0810 
2015-07-21
2015-05-310.210.230.02
2015-04-21
2015-02-280.220.260.0418 
2015-01-20
2014-11-300.070.02-0.0571 
2014-10-24
2014-08-310.860.71-0.1517 
2014-07-22
2014-05-310.240.270.0312 
2014-04-28
2014-02-280.230.270.0417 
2014-01-21
2013-11-30-0.020.030.05250 
2013-10-23
2013-08-310.760.810.05
2013-07-23
2013-05-310.160.180.0212 
2013-04-24
2013-02-280.120.180.0650 
2013-01-29
2012-11-30-0.04-0.1-0.06150 
2012-10-29
2012-08-310.710.61-0.114 
2012-07-18
2012-05-310.110.1-0.01
2012-04-17
2012-02-290.160.14-0.0212 
2012-01-17
2011-11-300.020.020
2011-10-18
2011-08-310.570.580.01
2011-07-18
2011-05-310.060.10.0466 
2011-04-27
2011-02-280.120.150.0325 
2011-01-18
2010-11-300.010.010
2010-10-18
2010-08-310.430.4-0.03
2010-07-20
2010-05-310.030.040.0133 
2010-04-20
2010-02-280.080.090.0112 
2010-01-19
2009-11-300.010.010
2009-10-20
2009-08-310.390.37-0.02
2009-07-21
2009-05-310.020.020
2009-04-21
2009-02-280.070.070
2009-01-19
2008-11-300.020.020
2008-10-20
2008-08-310.280.290.01
2008-07-17
2008-05-31None0.01None
2008-04-16
2008-02-290.060.070.0116 
2008-01-15
2007-11-300.020.01-0.0150 
2007-10-15
2007-08-310.20.220.0210 
2007-07-24
2007-05-31None-0.01None
2007-04-17
2007-02-280.020.060.04200 
2007-01-15
2006-11-30None0.01None
2006-10-17
2006-08-31None0.0183None

About New Oriental Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of New Oriental earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current New Oriental estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as New Oriental fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit2.6 B2.8 B
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT488.5 M420.9 M
Earnings per Basic Share 0.23  0.21 
Earnings per Diluted Share 0.23  0.21 
Price to Earnings Ratio 58.82  52.88 
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA753.2 M604.9 M
Earnings before Tax480.7 M416.1 M
New Oriental Education Technology Group Inc. provides private educational services under the New Oriental brand in the Peoples Republic of China. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Beijing, the Peoples Republic of China. New Oriental operates under Education Training Services classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 88126 people.

New Oriental Investors Sentiment

The influence of New Oriental's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in New Oriental. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

New Oriental Implied Volatility

    
  84.32  
New Oriental's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of New Oriental Education stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if New Oriental's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that New Oriental stock will not fluctuate a lot when New Oriental's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards New Oriental in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, New Oriental's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from New Oriental options trading.

Current Sentiment - EDU

New Oriental Education Investor Sentiment

Greater number of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on New Oriental Education. What is your trading attitude regarding investing in New Oriental Education? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Pair Trading with New Oriental

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if New Oriental position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in New Oriental will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

New Oriental Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for New Oriental and Bright Scholar Education. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
Run Pair Correlation  
Continue to Investing Opportunities. Note that the New Oriental Education information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other New Oriental's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

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When running New Oriental Education price analysis, check to measure New Oriental's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New Oriental is operating at the current time. Most of New Oriental's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New Oriental's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New Oriental's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New Oriental to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is New Oriental's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of New Oriental. If investors know New Oriental will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about New Oriental listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of New Oriental Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of New Oriental that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of New Oriental's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is New Oriental's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because New Oriental's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect New Oriental's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between New Oriental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine New Oriental value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, New Oriental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.