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Microsoft Earnings Estimate

MSFT Stock  USD 417.32  0.90  0.22%   
The next projected EPS of Microsoft is estimated to be 2.82 with future projections ranging from a low of 2.78 to a high of 3.06. Microsoft's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 11.08. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Microsoft is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Microsoft is projected to generate 2.82 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2024. Microsoft earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Microsoft EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Microsoft, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Microsoft's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Microsoft's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. At this time, Microsoft's Gross Profit is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Gross Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.87 in 2024, whereas Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.42 in 2024.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Microsoft. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
For more information on how to buy Microsoft Stock please use our How to Invest in Microsoft guide.

Microsoft Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Microsoft's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Microsoft is estimated to be 2.82 with the future projection ranging from a low of 2.78 to a high of 3.06. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Microsoft is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
2.93
2.78
Lowest
Expected EPS
2.82
3.06
Highest

Microsoft Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Microsoft's value are higher than the current market price of the Microsoft stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Microsoft is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Microsoft's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2024Current EPS (TTM)
3494.74%
2.93
2.82
11.08

Microsoft Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Microsoft analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Microsoft's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Microsoft's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Microsoft Quarterly Gross Profit

42.4 Billion

At this time, Microsoft's Retained Earnings are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to gain to about 101.8 B in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 31.93 in 2024. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 7.2 B in 2024. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 87.4 B in 2024.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Microsoft's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Microsoft in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
416.03417.22418.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
355.30356.49458.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
421.85423.04424.23
Details
58 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
357.03392.34435.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Microsoft. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Microsoft's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Microsoft's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Microsoft. Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Microsoft assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Microsoft. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Microsoft's stock price in the short term.

Microsoft Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Microsoft refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Microsoft predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Microsoft, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Microsoft Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Microsoft, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Microsoft should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Microsoft Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Microsoft's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-01-30
2023-12-312.782.930.15
2023-10-24
2023-09-302.652.990.3412 
2023-07-25
2023-06-302.552.690.14
2023-04-25
2023-03-312.232.450.22
2023-01-24
2022-12-312.292.320.03
2022-10-25
2022-09-302.32.350.05
2022-07-26
2022-06-302.292.23-0.06
2022-04-26
2022-03-312.192.220.03
2022-01-25
2021-12-312.312.480.17
2021-10-26
2021-09-302.072.270.2
2021-07-27
2021-06-301.922.170.2513 
2021-04-27
2021-03-311.781.950.17
2021-01-26
2020-12-311.642.030.3923 
2020-10-27
2020-09-301.541.820.2818 
2020-07-22
2020-06-301.341.460.12
2020-04-29
2020-03-311.261.40.1411 
2020-01-29
2019-12-311.321.510.1914 
2019-10-23
2019-09-301.251.380.1310 
2019-07-18
2019-06-301.211.370.1613 
2019-04-24
2019-03-3111.140.1414 
2019-01-30
2018-12-311.091.10.01
2018-10-24
2018-09-300.961.140.1818 
2018-07-19
2018-06-301.081.130.05
2018-04-26
2018-03-310.850.950.111 
2018-01-31
2017-12-310.860.960.111 
2017-10-26
2017-09-300.720.840.1216 
2017-07-20
2017-06-300.710.980.2738 
2017-04-27
2017-03-310.70.730.03
2017-01-26
2016-12-310.790.840.05
2016-10-20
2016-09-300.680.760.0811 
2016-07-19
2016-06-300.580.690.1118 
2016-04-21
2016-03-310.640.62-0.02
2016-01-28
2015-12-310.710.780.07
2015-10-22
2015-09-300.590.670.0813 
2015-07-21
2015-06-300.560.60.04
2015-04-23
2015-03-310.510.610.119 
2015-01-26
2014-12-310.710.750.04
2014-10-23
2014-09-300.490.540.0510 
2014-07-22
2014-06-300.60.55-0.05
2014-04-24
2014-03-310.630.680.05
2014-01-23
2013-12-310.680.780.114 
2013-10-24
2013-09-300.540.620.0814 
2013-07-18
2013-06-300.750.66-0.0912 
2013-04-18
2013-03-310.680.720.04
2013-01-24
2012-12-310.750.760.01
2012-10-18
2012-09-300.560.53-0.03
2012-07-19
2012-06-300.620.670.05
2012-04-19
2012-03-310.570.60.03
2012-01-19
2011-12-310.760.780.02
2011-10-20
2011-09-300.680.680.0
2011-07-21
2011-06-300.580.690.1118 
2011-04-28
2011-03-310.560.610.05
2011-01-27
2010-12-310.680.770.0913 
2010-10-28
2010-09-300.550.620.0712 
2010-07-22
2010-06-300.460.510.0510 
2010-04-22
2010-03-310.420.450.03
2010-01-28
2009-12-310.590.740.1525 
2009-10-23
2009-09-300.320.40.0825 
2009-07-23
2009-06-300.360.360.0
2009-04-23
2009-03-310.390.390.0
2009-01-22
2008-12-310.490.47-0.02
2008-10-23
2008-09-300.470.480.01
2008-07-17
2008-06-300.470.46-0.01
2008-04-24
2008-03-310.440.470.03
2008-01-24
2007-12-310.460.50.04
2007-10-25
2007-09-300.390.450.0615 
2007-07-19
2007-06-300.390.390.0
2007-04-26
2007-03-310.460.490.03
2007-01-25
2006-12-310.230.260.0313 
2006-10-26
2006-09-300.310.350.0412 
2006-07-20
2006-06-300.30.310.01
2006-04-27
2006-03-310.330.32-0.01
2006-01-26
2005-12-310.330.330.0
2005-10-27
2005-09-300.30.310.01
2005-07-21
2005-06-300.310.320.01
2005-04-28
2005-03-310.320.320.0
2005-01-27
2004-12-310.330.350.02
2004-10-21
2004-09-300.30.310.01
2004-07-22
2004-06-300.290.28-0.01
2004-04-22
2004-03-310.290.340.0517 
2004-01-22
2003-12-310.30.340.0413 
2003-10-23
2003-09-300.290.30.01
2003-07-17
2003-06-300.240.23-0.01
2003-04-15
2003-03-310.240.270.0312 
2003-01-16
2002-12-310.230.270.0417 
2002-10-17
2002-09-300.210.280.0733 
2002-07-18
2002-06-300.210.210.0
2002-04-18
2002-03-310.250.250.0
2002-01-17
2001-12-310.210.250.0419 
2001-10-18
2001-09-300.20.220.0210 
2001-07-19
2001-06-300.210.220.01
2001-04-19
2001-03-310.210.220.01
2001-01-18
2000-12-310.230.240.01
2000-10-18
2000-09-300.210.230.02
2000-07-18
2000-06-300.210.220.01
2000-04-20
2000-03-310.20.220.0210 
2000-01-18
1999-12-310.210.240.0314 
1999-10-19
1999-09-300.170.190.0211 
1999-07-19
1999-06-300.180.20.0211 
1999-04-20
1999-03-310.160.190.0318 
1999-01-19
1998-12-310.150.180.0320 
1998-10-20
1998-09-300.120.140.0216 
1998-07-16
1998-06-300.120.130.01
1998-04-22
1998-03-310.120.130.01
1998-01-21
1997-12-310.10.110.0110 
1997-10-20
1997-09-300.090.090.0
1997-07-17
1997-06-300.10.10.0
1997-04-17
1997-03-310.080.10.0225 
1997-01-17
1996-12-310.060.070.0116 
1996-10-21
1996-09-300.060.060.0
1996-07-22
1996-06-300.050.050.0
1996-04-18
1996-03-310.050.060.0120 

About Microsoft Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Microsoft earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Microsoft estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Microsoft fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Retained Earnings136.7 B143.5 B
Retained Earnings Total Equity96.9 B101.8 B
Price Earnings Ratio 40.44  31.93 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio 153.49  161.17 

Microsoft Investors Sentiment

The influence of Microsoft's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Microsoft. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Microsoft's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Microsoft. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Microsoft can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Microsoft. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Microsoft's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Microsoft's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Microsoft's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Microsoft.

Microsoft Implied Volatility

    
  28.03  
Microsoft's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Microsoft stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Microsoft's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Microsoft stock will not fluctuate a lot when Microsoft's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Microsoft in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Microsoft's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Microsoft options trading.

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When determining whether Microsoft is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Microsoft Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Microsoft Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Microsoft Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Microsoft. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
For more information on how to buy Microsoft Stock please use our How to Invest in Microsoft guide.
Note that the Microsoft information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Microsoft's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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When running Microsoft's price analysis, check to measure Microsoft's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microsoft is operating at the current time. Most of Microsoft's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microsoft's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microsoft's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microsoft to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Microsoft's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Microsoft. If investors know Microsoft will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Microsoft listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.332
Dividend Share
2.86
Earnings Share
11.08
Revenue Per Share
30.612
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.176
The market value of Microsoft is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Microsoft that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Microsoft's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Microsoft's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Microsoft's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Microsoft's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Microsoft's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Microsoft is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Microsoft's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.