Microsoft Earnings Estimate

MSFT Stock

USD 370.95 2.15 0.58%

Many public companies, such as Microsoft, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Microsoft's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Microsoft's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.

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Microsoft is projected to generate 2.75 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2023. Microsoft earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Microsoft EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Gross Profit is likely to drop to about 126.8 B in 2023. Profit Margin is likely to drop to 0.34 in 2023

Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Microsoft. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

For more information on how to buy Microsoft Stock please use our How to Invest in Microsoft guide.

Microsoft Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of earning per share of Microsoft is based on the official Zacks consensus of 13 analysts regarding Microsoft's future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 93.26%, Microsoft's future earnings per share of Microsoft is estimated to be 2.75 with the lowest and highest values of 2.73 and 2.81, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Microsoft is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and includes employee stock options expenses

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Current EPS 10.33

2.73

Lowest

Expected EPS 2.75

2.81

Highest

Microsoft Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Microsoft's value are higher than the current market price of the Microsoft stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Microsoft is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Microsoft's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.

Number of Analysts	Historical Accuracy	Current EPS	EPS Estimate for 31st of December 2023
13	93.26%	10.33	2.75

Microsoft Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Microsoft analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Microsoft's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Microsoft's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Microsoft Quarterly Gross Profit

40.22 Billion

Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit is likely to gain to about 128.2 B in 2023, whereas Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT is likely to drop slightly above 75.7 B in 2023. Weighted Average Shares is likely to drop to about 7.2 B in 2023. Weighted Average Shares Diluted is likely to drop to about 7.3 B in 2023.

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Microsoft's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Microsoft in the context of predictive analytics.

Hype

Prediction

Low	Estimated	High
366.61	367.99	369.37

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Intrinsic

Valuation

Low	Real	High
331.92	407.07	408.45

Details

36 Analysts

Consensus

Low	Target	High
232.00	399.14	475.00

Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Microsoft. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Microsoft's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Microsoft's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Microsoft. Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Microsoft assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Microsoft. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Microsoft's stock price in the short term.

Microsoft Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Microsoft refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Microsoft predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Microsoft, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Microsoft Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Microsoft, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Microsoft should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Microsoft Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Microsoft's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.

Reported	Fiscal Date	Estimated EPS	Reported EPS	Surprise
2023-10-24	2023-09-30	2.65	2.99	0.34	12
2023-07-25	2023-06-30	2.55	2.69	0.14	5
2023-04-25	2023-03-31	2.23	2.45	0.22	9
2023-01-24	2022-12-31	2.29	2.32	0.03	1
2022-10-25	2022-09-30	2.3	2.35	0.05	2
2022-07-26	2022-06-30	2.29	2.23	-0.06	2
2022-04-26	2022-03-31	2.19	2.22	0.03	1
2022-01-25	2021-12-31	2.31	2.48	0.17	7
2021-10-26	2021-09-30	2.07	2.27	0.2	9
2021-07-27	2021-06-30	1.92	2.17	0.25	13
2021-04-27	2021-03-31	1.78	1.95	0.17	9
2021-01-26	2020-12-31	1.64	2.03	0.39	23
2020-10-27	2020-09-30	1.54	1.82	0.28	18
2020-07-22	2020-06-30	1.34	1.46	0.12	8
2020-04-29	2020-03-31	1.26	1.4	0.14	11
2020-01-29	2019-12-31	1.32	1.51	0.19	14
2019-10-23	2019-09-30	1.25	1.38	0.13	10
2019-07-18	2019-06-30	1.21	1.37	0.16	13
2019-04-24	2019-03-31	1	1.14	0.14	14
2019-01-30	2018-12-31	1.09	1.1	0.01	0
2018-10-24	2018-09-30	0.96	1.14	0.18	18
2018-07-19	2018-06-30	1.08	1.13	0.05	4
2018-04-26	2018-03-31	0.85	0.95	0.1	11
2018-01-31	2017-12-31	0.86	0.96	0.1	11
2017-10-26	2017-09-30	0.72	0.84	0.12	16
2017-07-20	2017-06-30	0.71	0.98	0.27	38
2017-04-27	2017-03-31	0.7	0.73	0.03	4
2017-01-26	2016-12-31	0.79	0.84	0.05	6
2016-10-20	2016-09-30	0.68	0.76	0.08	11
2016-07-19	2016-06-30	0.58	0.69	0.11	18
2016-04-21	2016-03-31	0.64	0.62	-0.02	3
2016-01-28	2015-12-31	0.71	0.78	0.07	9
2015-10-22	2015-09-30	0.59	0.67	0.08	13
2015-07-21	2015-06-30	0.56	0.6	0.04	7
2015-04-23	2015-03-31	0.51	0.61	0.1	19
2015-01-26	2014-12-31	0.71	0.75	0.04	5
2014-10-23	2014-09-30	0.49	0.54	0.05	10
2014-07-22	2014-06-30	0.6	0.55	-0.05	8
2014-04-24	2014-03-31	0.63	0.68	0.05	7
2014-01-23	2013-12-31	0.68	0.78	0.1	14
2013-10-24	2013-09-30	0.54	0.62	0.08	14
2013-07-18	2013-06-30	0.75	0.66	-0.09	12
2013-04-18	2013-03-31	0.68	0.72	0.04	5
2013-01-24	2012-12-31	0.75	0.76	0.01	1
2012-10-18	2012-09-30	0.56	0.53	-0.03	5
2012-07-19	2012-06-30	0.62	0.67	0.05	8
2012-04-19	2012-03-31	0.57	0.6	0.03	5
2012-01-19	2011-12-31	0.76	0.78	0.02	2
2011-10-20	2011-09-30	0.68	0.68	0	0
2011-07-21	2011-06-30	0.58	0.69	0.11	18
2011-04-28	2011-03-31	0.56	0.61	0.05	8
2011-01-27	2010-12-31	0.68	0.77	0.09	13
2010-10-28	2010-09-30	0.55	0.62	0.07	12
2010-07-22	2010-06-30	0.46	0.51	0.05	10
2010-04-22	2010-03-31	0.42	0.45	0.03	7
2010-01-28	2009-12-31	0.59	0.74	0.15	25
2009-10-23	2009-09-30	0.32	0.4	0.08	25
2009-07-23	2009-06-30	0.36	0.36	0	0
2009-04-23	2009-03-31	0.39	0.39	0	0
2009-01-22	2008-12-31	0.49	0.47	-0.02	4
2008-10-23	2008-09-30	0.47	0.48	0.01	2
2008-07-17	2008-06-30	0.47	0.46	-0.01	2
2008-04-24	2008-03-31	0.44	0.47	0.03	6
2008-01-24	2007-12-31	0.46	0.5	0.04	8
2007-10-25	2007-09-30	0.39	0.45	0.06	15
2007-07-19	2007-06-30	0.39	0.39	0	0
2007-04-26	2007-03-31	0.46	0.49	0.03	6
2007-01-25	2006-12-31	0.23	0.26	0.03	13
2006-10-26	2006-09-30	0.31	0.35	0.04	12
2006-07-20	2006-06-30	0.3	0.31	0.01	3
2006-04-27	2006-03-31	0.33	0.32	-0.01	3
2006-01-26	2005-12-31	0.33	0.33	0	0
2005-10-27	2005-09-30	0.3	0.31	0.01	3
2005-07-21	2005-06-30	0.31	0.32	0.01	3
2005-04-28	2005-03-31	0.32	0.32	0	0
2005-01-27	2004-12-31	0.33	0.35	0.02	6
2004-10-21	2004-09-30	0.3	0.31	0.01	3
2004-07-22	2004-06-30	0.29	0.28	-0.01	3
2004-04-22	2004-03-31	0.29	0.34	0.05	17
2004-01-22	2003-12-31	0.3	0.34	0.04	13
2003-10-23	2003-09-30	0.29	0.3	0.01	3
2003-07-17	2003-06-30	0.24	0.23	-0.01	4
2003-04-15	2003-03-31	0.24	0.27	0.03	12
2003-01-16	2002-12-31	0.23	0.27	0.04	17
2002-10-17	2002-09-30	0.21	0.28	0.07	33
2002-07-18	2002-06-30	0.21	0.21	0	0
2002-04-18	2002-03-31	0.25	0.25	0	0
2002-01-17	2001-12-31	0.21	0.25	0.04	19
2001-10-18	2001-09-30	0.2	0.22	0.02	10
2001-07-19	2001-06-30	0.21	0.22	0.01	4
2001-04-19	2001-03-31	0.21	0.22	0.01	4
2001-01-18	2000-12-31	0.23	0.24	0.01	4
2000-10-18	2000-09-30	0.21	0.23	0.02	9
2000-07-18	2000-06-30	0.21	0.22	0.01	4
2000-04-20	2000-03-31	0.2	0.22	0.02	10
2000-01-18	1999-12-31	0.21	0.24	0.03	14
1999-10-19	1999-09-30	0.17	0.19	0.02	11
1999-07-19	1999-06-30	0.18	0.2	0.02	11
1999-04-20	1999-03-31	0.16	0.19	0.03	18
1999-01-19	1998-12-31	0.15	0.18	0.03	20
1998-10-20	1998-09-30	0.12	0.14	0.02	16
1998-07-16	1998-06-30	0.12	0.13	0.01	8
1998-04-22	1998-03-31	0.12	0.13	0.01	8
1998-01-21	1997-12-31	0.1	0.11	0.01	10
1997-10-20	1997-09-30	0.09	0.09	0	0
1997-07-17	1997-06-30	0.1	0.1	0	0
1997-04-17	1997-03-31	0.08	0.1	0.02	25
1997-01-17	1996-12-31	0.06	0.07	0.01	16
1996-10-21	1996-09-30	0.06	0.06	0	0
1996-07-22	1996-06-30	0.05	0.05	0	0
1996-04-18	1996-03-31	0.05	0.06	0.01	20

About Microsoft Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Microsoft earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Microsoft estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Microsoft fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'

Please read more on our stock advisor page.

	Last Reported	Projected for 2023
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit	118.8 B	128.2 B
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT	91.3 B	75.7 B
Earnings per Basic Share	9.72	7.92
Earnings per Diluted Share	9.68	7.87
Price to Earnings Ratio	35.03	34.29
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA	105.1 B	88.5 B
Earnings before Tax	89.3 B	73.7 B

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When determining whether Microsoft is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Microsoft Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Microsoft Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Microsoft Stock:

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For more information on how to buy Microsoft Stock please use our How to Invest in Microsoft guide.

Note that the Microsoft information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Microsoft's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Microsoft Stock analysis

When running Microsoft's price analysis, check to measure Microsoft's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microsoft is operating at the current time. Most of Microsoft's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microsoft's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microsoft's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microsoft to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is Microsoft's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Microsoft. If investors know Microsoft will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Microsoft listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.272

Dividend Share

2.79

Earnings Share

10.39

Revenue Per Share

29.347

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.128

The market value of Microsoft is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Microsoft that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Microsoft's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Microsoft's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Microsoft's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Microsoft's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Microsoft's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Microsoft is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Microsoft's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

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Microsoft Earnings Estimate

Microsoft Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Microsoft Earnings Projection Consensus

Microsoft Earnings History

Microsoft Quarterly Gross Profit

40.22 Billion

Microsoft Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Microsoft Estimated Earnings per Share

Microsoft Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

About Microsoft Earnings Estimate

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