AGM Group Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| AGMH Stock | USD 1.11 0.22 16.54% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AGM Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.62. AGM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast AGM Group stock prices and determine the direction of AGM Group Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AGM Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although AGM Group's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of AGM Group's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of AGM Group fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AGM Group to cross-verify your projections. AGM |
Most investors in AGM Group cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the AGM Group's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets AGM Group's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for AGM Group is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility. AGM Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AGM Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AGM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AGM Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AGM Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AGM Group | AGM Group Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
AGM Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AGM Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AGM Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.74, respectively. We have considered AGM Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AGM Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AGM Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.7816 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0139 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0771 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0471 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.625 |
Predictive Modules for AGM Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AGM Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AGM Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for AGM Group
For every potential investor in AGM, whether a beginner or expert, AGM Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AGM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AGM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AGM Group's price trends.AGM Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AGM Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AGM Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AGM Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AGM Group Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AGM Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AGM Group's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AGM Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AGM Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AGM Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AGM Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AGM Group Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 62119.35 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.85) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.83 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.23 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.23) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.22) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 26.75 |
AGM Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of AGM Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AGM Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting agm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.73 | |||
| Variance | 32.81 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards AGM Group in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, AGM Group's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from AGM Group options trading.
Pair Trading with AGM Group
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AGM Group position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AGM Group will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with AGM Stock
| 0.62 | V | Visa Class A Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against AGM Stock
| 0.53 | FSK | FS KKR Capital Financial Report 3rd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.5 | WAVS | Western Acquisition | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | FDUS | Fidus Investment Corp Financial Report 2nd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to AGM Group could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AGM Group when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AGM Group - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AGM Group Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of AGM Group is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AGM Group moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AGM Group Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AGM Group can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AGM Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for AGM Stock analysis
When running AGM Group's price analysis, check to measure AGM Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AGM Group is operating at the current time. Most of AGM Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AGM Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AGM Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AGM Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
| USA ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| FinTech Suite Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal |
Is AGM Group's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AGM Group. If investors know AGM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AGM Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Earnings Share 0.45 | Revenue Per Share 6.454 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.68) | Return On Assets 0.0825 |
The market value of AGM Group Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AGM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AGM Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AGM Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AGM Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AGM Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AGM Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AGM Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AGM Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.