C3 Ai Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

AI Stock  USD 30.58  0.90  3.03%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of C3 Ai Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 30.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.74. C3 Ai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of C3 Ai's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, C3 Ai's Payables Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The C3 Ai's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 3.09, while Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to decrease to 3.33. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 115.1 M. The C3 Ai's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (229.9 M).

Open Interest Against 2024-07-19 C3 Ai Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast C3 Ai's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in C3 Ai's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for C3 Ai stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current C3 Ai's open interest, investors have to compare it to C3 Ai's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of C3 Ai is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in C3 Ai. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in C3 Ai cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the C3 Ai's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets C3 Ai's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the accuracy of the generated results. Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for C3 Ai works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

C3 Ai Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of July 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of C3 Ai Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 30.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 0.77, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict C3 Ai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that C3 Ai's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

C3 Ai Stock Forecast Pattern

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C3 Ai Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting C3 Ai's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. C3 Ai's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.48 and 34.22, respectively. We have considered C3 Ai's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
30.58
30.85
Expected Value
34.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of C3 Ai stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent C3 Ai stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1054
MADMean absolute deviation0.6058
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0225
SAESum of the absolute errors35.74
When C3 Ai Inc prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any C3 Ai Inc trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent C3 Ai observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for C3 Ai

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as C3 Ai Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of C3 Ai's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.0429.3732.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.0827.4130.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20.8529.2737.70
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.5727.0029.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as C3 Ai. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against C3 Ai's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, C3 Ai's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in C3 Ai Inc.

Other Forecasting Options for C3 Ai

For every potential investor in C3 Ai, whether a beginner or expert, C3 Ai's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. C3 Ai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in C3 Ai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying C3 Ai's price trends.

C3 Ai Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with C3 Ai stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of C3 Ai could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing C3 Ai by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

C3 Ai Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of C3 Ai's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of C3 Ai's current price.

C3 Ai Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how C3 Ai stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading C3 Ai shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying C3 Ai stock market strength indicators, traders can identify C3 Ai Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

C3 Ai Risk Indicators

The analysis of C3 Ai's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in C3 Ai's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting c3 ai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in C3 Ai Stock

When determining whether C3 Ai Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of C3 Ai's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of C3 Ai Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on C3 Ai Inc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of C3 Ai to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of C3 Ai. If investors know C3 Ai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about C3 Ai listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.34)
Revenue Per Share
2.602
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.196
Return On Assets
(0.19)
Return On Equity
(0.31)
The market value of C3 Ai Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of C3 Ai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of C3 Ai's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is C3 Ai's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because C3 Ai's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect C3 Ai's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between C3 Ai's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if C3 Ai is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, C3 Ai's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.