Apartment Investment Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

AIV Stock  USD 8.12  0.19  2.40%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Apartment Investment And on the next trading day is expected to be 7.90 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.16  and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.86. Apartment Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Apartment Investment stock prices and determine the direction of Apartment Investment And's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Apartment Investment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Apartment Investment's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Apartment Investment's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Apartment Investment fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Apartment Investment to cross-verify your projections.
  
At this time, Apartment Investment's Payables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 11.64 in 2024, despite the fact that Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to (4.52). . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 134.7 M in 2024. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 81.5 M in 2024.

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Apartment Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Apartment Investment's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Apartment Investment's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Apartment Investment stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Apartment Investment's open interest, investors have to compare it to Apartment Investment's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Apartment Investment is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Apartment. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Apartment Investment cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Apartment Investment's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Apartment Investment's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Apartment Investment is based on an artificially constructed time series of Apartment Investment daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Apartment Investment 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Apartment Investment And on the next trading day is expected to be 7.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.86.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Apartment Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Apartment Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Apartment Investment Stock Forecast Pattern

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Apartment Investment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Apartment Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Apartment Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.23 and 9.57, respectively. We have considered Apartment Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.12
7.90
Expected Value
9.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Apartment Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Apartment Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.0494
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.017
MADMean absolute deviation0.1641
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0215
SAESum of the absolute errors8.8588
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Apartment Investment And 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Apartment Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apartment Investment And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Apartment Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.468.139.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.879.5411.21
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.1911.2012.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Apartment Investment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Apartment Investment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Apartment Investment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Apartment Investment And.

Other Forecasting Options for Apartment Investment

For every potential investor in Apartment, whether a beginner or expert, Apartment Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Apartment Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Apartment. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Apartment Investment's price trends.

Apartment Investment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Apartment Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Apartment Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Apartment Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Apartment Investment And Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Apartment Investment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Apartment Investment's current price.

Apartment Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Apartment Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Apartment Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Apartment Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Apartment Investment And entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Apartment Investment Risk Indicators

The analysis of Apartment Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Apartment Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting apartment stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Apartment Investment in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Apartment Investment's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Apartment Investment options trading.

Pair Trading with Apartment Investment

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Apartment Investment position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Apartment Investment will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Apartment Stock

  0.46EQIX Equinix Financial Report 1st of May 2024 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Apartment Investment could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Apartment Investment when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Apartment Investment - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Apartment Investment And to buy it.
The correlation of Apartment Investment is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Apartment Investment moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Apartment Investment And moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Apartment Investment can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Apartment Investment And is a strong investment it is important to analyze Apartment Investment's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Apartment Investment's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Apartment Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Apartment Investment to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

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Is Apartment Investment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Apartment Investment. If investors know Apartment will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Apartment Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.63)
Earnings Share
(1.16)
Revenue Per Share
1.308
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.179
Return On Assets
0.0037
The market value of Apartment Investment And is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Apartment that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Apartment Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Apartment Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Apartment Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Apartment Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Apartment Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Apartment Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apartment Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.