Align Technology Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| ALGN Stock | USD 311.88 11.06 3.68% |
Align Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Align Technology stock prices and determine the direction of Align Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Align Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Align Technology's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Align Technology's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Align Technology fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Align Technology to cross-verify your projections. Align |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-26 Align Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Align Technology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Align Technology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Align Technology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Align Technology's open interest, investors have to compare it to Align Technology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Align Technology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Align. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Align Technology cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Align Technology's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Align Technology's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Align Technology is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Align Technology to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Align Technology trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 9251.96 | 24797.83 |
| Check Align Technology Volatility | Backtest Align Technology | Information Ratio |
Align Technology Trading Date Momentum
| On April 23 2024 Align Technology was traded for 311.88 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 312.43 and the lowest listed price was 299.96 . The trading volume for the day was 621.3 K. The trading history from April 23, 2024 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 2.99% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Align Technology to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Align Technology
For every potential investor in Align, whether a beginner or expert, Align Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Align Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Align. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Align Technology's price trends.Align Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Align Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Align Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Align Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Align Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Align Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Align Technology's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Align Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Align Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Align Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Align Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Align Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 24797.83 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8869 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 306.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 308.09 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 11.22 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 11.06 |
Align Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Align Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Align Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting align stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Variance | 4.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.47 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.28 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.56) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Align Technology Investors Sentiment
The influence of Align Technology's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Align. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Align Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Align. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Align can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Align Technology. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Align Technology's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Align Technology's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Align Technology's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Align Technology.
Align Technology Implied Volatility | 155.92 |
Align Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Align Technology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Align Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Align Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Align Technology's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Align Technology in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Align Technology's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Align Technology options trading.
Pair Trading with Align Technology
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Align Technology position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Align Technology will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Align Stock
| 0.77 | SINT | SINTX Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.69 | SRDX | SurModics Earnings Call Next Week | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | GH | Guardant Health Financial Report 14th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | CMAX | CareMax Financial Report 8th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | ICCM | Icecure Medical Financial Report 27th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Align Technology could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Align Technology when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Align Technology - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Align Technology to buy it.
The correlation of Align Technology is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Align Technology moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Align Technology moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Align Technology can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Align Technology to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Align Stock, please use our How to Invest in Align Technology guide.Note that the Align Technology information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Align Technology's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Align Stock analysis
When running Align Technology's price analysis, check to measure Align Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Align Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Align Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Align Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Align Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Align Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Align Technology's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Align Technology. If investors know Align will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Align Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.06 | Earnings Share 5.81 | Revenue Per Share 50.536 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.061 | Return On Assets 0.0682 |
The market value of Align Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Align that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Align Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Align Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Align Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Align Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Align Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Align Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Align Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.