# GraniteShares Etf Forecast - Polynomial Regression

AMDL Etf | 10.62 0.35 3.19% |

The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of GraniteShares 2x Long on the next trading day is expected to be

**7.30**with a mean absolute deviation of**1.31**and the sum of the absolute errors of**79.65**. GraniteShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.GraniteShares |

## GraniteShares Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 12th of August 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of GraniteShares 2x Long on the next trading day is expected to be**7.30**with a mean absolute deviation of

**1.31**, mean absolute percentage error of

**2.71**, and the sum of the absolute errors of

**79.65**.

Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GraniteShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GraniteShares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

## GraniteShares Etf Forecast Pattern

## GraniteShares Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GraniteShares' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GraniteShares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are

**1.25**and**13.36**, respectively. We have considered GraniteShares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.## Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GraniteShares etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GraniteShares etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.1066 |

Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |

MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3058 |

MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0855 |

SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 79.6509 |

_{0}+ a

_{1}*X + a

_{2}*X

^{2}+ a

_{3}*X

^{3}+ ... + a

_{m}*X

^{m}

## Predictive Modules for GraniteShares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GraniteShares 2x Long. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GraniteShares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

## Other Forecasting Options for GraniteShares

For every potential investor in GraniteShares, whether a beginner or expert, GraniteShares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GraniteShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GraniteShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GraniteShares' price trends.## GraniteShares Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GraniteShares etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GraniteShares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GraniteShares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Risk & Return | Correlation |

## GraniteShares 2x Long Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GraniteShares' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GraniteShares' current price.Cycle Indicators | ||

Math Operators | ||

Math Transform | ||

Momentum Indicators | ||

Overlap Studies | ||

Pattern Recognition | ||

Price Transform | ||

Statistic Functions | ||

Volatility Indicators | ||

Volume Indicators |

## GraniteShares Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GraniteShares etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GraniteShares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GraniteShares etf market strength indicators, traders can identify GraniteShares 2x Long entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

## GraniteShares Risk Indicators

The analysis of GraniteShares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GraniteShares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting graniteshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.

Mean Deviation | 4.38 | |||

Standard Deviation | 6.05 | |||

Variance | 36.63 |

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

## Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an **AI-driven system** that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge **machine learning** algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for **individual and institutional investors**.

## Additional Information and Resources on Investing in GraniteShares Etf

When determining whether GraniteShares 2x Long is a strong investment it is important to analyze GraniteShares' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact GraniteShares' future performance.**For an informed investment choice regarding GraniteShares Etf, refer to the following important reports:**

Check out fundamental analysis of GraniteShares to check your projections. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

The market value of GraniteShares 2x Long is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GraniteShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GraniteShares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GraniteShares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GraniteShares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GraniteShares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between GraniteShares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GraniteShares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GraniteShares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.