Arcturus Therapeutics Stock Forecast - Value At Risk
| ARCT Stock | USD 26.32 1.32 4.78% |
Arcturus Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Arcturus Therapeutics stock prices and determine the direction of Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Arcturus Therapeutics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Arcturus Therapeutics' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Arcturus Therapeutics' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Arcturus Therapeutics fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Arcturus Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections. Arcturus |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Arcturus Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Arcturus Therapeutics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Arcturus Therapeutics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Arcturus Therapeutics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Arcturus Therapeutics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Arcturus Therapeutics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Arcturus Therapeutics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Arcturus. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Arcturus Therapeutics cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Arcturus Therapeutics' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Arcturus Therapeutics' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
| Check Arcturus Therapeutics Volatility | Backtest Arcturus Therapeutics | Information Ratio |
Arcturus Therapeutics Trading Date Momentum
| On April 19 2024 Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings was traded for 26.32 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 27.45 and the lowest listed price was 26.26 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on April 19, 2024 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 3.12% . |
| Compare Arcturus Therapeutics to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Arcturus Therapeutics
For every potential investor in Arcturus, whether a beginner or expert, Arcturus Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Arcturus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Arcturus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Arcturus Therapeutics' price trends.View Arcturus Therapeutics Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Arcturus Therapeutics Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Arcturus Therapeutics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Arcturus Therapeutics' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Arcturus Therapeutics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Arcturus Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Arcturus Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Arcturus Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Arcturus Therapeutics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Arcturus Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Arcturus Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting arcturus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.98 | |||
| Variance | 15.86 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Arcturus Therapeutics in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Arcturus Therapeutics' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Arcturus Therapeutics options trading.
Pair Trading with Arcturus Therapeutics
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Arcturus Therapeutics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Arcturus Therapeutics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Arcturus Stock
| 0.64 | EOLS | Evolus Inc Financial Report 14th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | JNJ | Johnson Johnson Financial Report 18th of July 2024 | PairCorr |
Moving against Arcturus Stock
| 0.58 | MRKR | Marker Therapeutics | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | NUVB | Nuvation Bio Financial Report 2nd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Arcturus Therapeutics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Arcturus Therapeutics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Arcturus Therapeutics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Arcturus Therapeutics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Arcturus Therapeutics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Arcturus Therapeutics moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Arcturus Therapeutics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Arcturus Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Arcturus Therapeutics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Arcturus Therapeutics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Complementary Tools for Arcturus Stock analysis
When running Arcturus Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Arcturus Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arcturus Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Arcturus Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arcturus Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arcturus Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arcturus Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities | |
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data | |
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine | |
| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities | |
| Funds Screener Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges | |
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals |
Is Arcturus Therapeutics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arcturus Therapeutics. If investors know Arcturus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arcturus Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.12) | Revenue Per Share 6.264 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.81) | Return On Assets (0.11) | Return On Equity (0.11) |
The market value of Arcturus Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arcturus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arcturus Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arcturus Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arcturus Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arcturus Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arcturus Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arcturus Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arcturus Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.