Amg River Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

ARIDX Fund  USD 9.75  0.13  1.35%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Amg River Road on the next trading day is expected to be 9.51 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.10  and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.33. Amg Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Amg River stock prices and determine the direction of Amg River Road's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Amg River's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amg River to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Amg River cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, fund markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Amg River's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Amg River's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Amg River price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Amg River Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Amg River Road on the next trading day is expected to be 9.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amg Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amg River's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Amg River Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Amg RiverAmg River Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Amg River Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Amg River's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amg River's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.77 and 10.25, respectively. We have considered Amg River's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.75
9.51
Expected Value
10.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amg River mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amg River mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.8509
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1021
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.011
SAESum of the absolute errors6.3316
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Amg River Road historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Amg River

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amg River Road. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amg River's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.019.7510.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.158.8910.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amg River. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amg River's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amg River's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amg River Road.

Other Forecasting Options for Amg River

For every potential investor in Amg, whether a beginner or expert, Amg River's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amg Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amg. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amg River's price trends.

Amg River Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amg River mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amg River could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amg River by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Amg River Road Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amg River's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amg River's current price.

Amg River Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amg River mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amg River shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amg River mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Amg River Road entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Amg River Risk Indicators

The analysis of Amg River's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amg River's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amg mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Amg River

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Amg River position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Amg River will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Amg Mutual Fund

  0.75USG USCF Gold Strategy Symbol ChangePairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Amg River could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Amg River when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Amg River - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Amg River Road to buy it.
The correlation of Amg River is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Amg River moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Amg River Road moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Amg River can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amg River to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Amg River Road information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Amg River's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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When running Amg River's price analysis, check to measure Amg River's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amg River is operating at the current time. Most of Amg River's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amg River's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amg River's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amg River to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Amg River's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amg River is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amg River's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.