Air Transport Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator

ATSG Stock  USD 12.61  0.16  1.29%   
Air Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Air Transport stock prices and determine the direction of Air Transport Services's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Air Transport's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Air Transport's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Air Transport's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Air Transport fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Air Transport to cross-verify your projections.
  
At this time, Air Transport's Inventory Turnover is most likely to drop in the upcoming years. The Air Transport's current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 10.07, while Receivables Turnover is projected to decrease to 9.12. . The Air Transport's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 239.8 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to roughly 70.1 M.

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Air Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Air Transport's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Air Transport's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Air Transport stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Air Transport's open interest, investors have to compare it to Air Transport's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Air Transport is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Air. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Air Transport Services has current Price Action Indicator of 0.035.
Most investors in Air Transport cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Air Transport's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Air Transport's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Price Action indicator evaluates an asset for a given trading period using the following formula: ((close - open) + (close - high) + (close - low)) / 2. This indicator is consistent with the interpretation of Japanese candlestick patterns.
Check Air Transport VolatilityBacktest Air TransportInformation Ratio  

Air Transport Trading Date Momentum

On April 19 2024 Air Transport Services was traded for  12.61  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 12.86  and the lowest listed price was  12.45 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on April 19, 2024 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 1.27% .
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
Compare Air Transport to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Air Transport

For every potential investor in Air, whether a beginner or expert, Air Transport's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Air Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Air. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Air Transport's price trends.

Air Transport Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Air Transport stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Air Transport could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air Transport by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Air Transport Services Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Air Transport's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Air Transport's current price.

Air Transport Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Air Transport stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Air Transport shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Air Transport stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Air Transport Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Air Transport Risk Indicators

The analysis of Air Transport's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Air Transport's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting air stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Air Transport

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Air Transport position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Air Transport will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Air Stock

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Moving against Air Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Air Transport could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Air Transport when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Air Transport - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Air Transport Services to buy it.
The correlation of Air Transport is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Air Transport moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Air Transport Services moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Air Transport can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Air Transport Services is a strong investment it is important to analyze Air Transport's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Air Transport's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Air Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Air Transport to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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When running Air Transport's price analysis, check to measure Air Transport's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air Transport is operating at the current time. Most of Air Transport's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air Transport's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air Transport's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air Transport to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Air Transport's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Transport. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Transport listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.58)
Earnings Share
0.82
Revenue Per Share
30.166
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Return On Assets
0.0272
The market value of Air Transport Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Transport's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Transport's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Transport's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Transport's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Transport's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air Transport is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Transport's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.