Altice USA Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

ATUS Stock  USD 2.62  0.13  5.22%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Altice USA on the next trading day is expected to be 2.62 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.12  and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.99. Altice Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Altice USA stock prices and determine the direction of Altice USA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Altice USA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Altice USA to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Altice Stock please use our How to Invest in Altice USA guide.
  
Most investors in Altice USA cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Altice USA's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Altice USA's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Altice USA - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Altice USA prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Altice USA price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Altice USA.

Altice USA Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Altice USA on the next trading day is expected to be 2.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.99.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Altice Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Altice USA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Altice USA Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Altice USAAltice USA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Altice USA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Altice USA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Altice USA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 9.72, respectively. We have considered Altice USA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.62
2.62
Expected Value
9.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Altice USA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Altice USA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0264
MADMean absolute deviation0.1185
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0469
SAESum of the absolute errors6.9921
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Altice USA observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Altice USA observations.

Predictive Modules for Altice USA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altice USA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altice USA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.629.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.169.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Altice USA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Altice USA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Altice USA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Altice USA.

Other Forecasting Options for Altice USA

For every potential investor in Altice, whether a beginner or expert, Altice USA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Altice Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Altice. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Altice USA's price trends.

Altice USA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Altice USA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Altice USA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Altice USA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Altice USA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Altice USA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Altice USA's current price.

Altice USA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Altice USA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Altice USA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Altice USA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Altice USA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Altice USA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Altice USA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Altice USA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting altice stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Altice USA

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Altice USA position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Altice USA will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Altice USA could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Altice USA when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Altice USA - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Altice USA to buy it.
The correlation of Altice USA is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Altice USA moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Altice USA moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Altice USA can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Altice USA is a strong investment it is important to analyze Altice USA's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Altice USA's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Altice Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Altice USA to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Altice Stock please use our How to Invest in Altice USA guide.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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When running Altice USA's price analysis, check to measure Altice USA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Altice USA is operating at the current time. Most of Altice USA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Altice USA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Altice USA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Altice USA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Altice USA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Altice USA. If investors know Altice will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Altice USA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Altice USA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Altice that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Altice USA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Altice USA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Altice USA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Altice USA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Altice USA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Altice USA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Altice USA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.