AeroVironment Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| AVAV Stock | USD 157.99 0.31 0.20% |
AeroVironment Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast AeroVironment stock prices and determine the direction of AeroVironment's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AeroVironment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although AeroVironment's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of AeroVironment's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of AeroVironment fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AeroVironment to cross-verify your projections. AeroVironment |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 AeroVironment Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast AeroVironment's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in AeroVironment's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for AeroVironment stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current AeroVironment's open interest, investors have to compare it to AeroVironment's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of AeroVironment is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in AeroVironment. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in AeroVironment cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the AeroVironment's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets AeroVironment's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which AeroVironment is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of AeroVironment to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by AeroVironment trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 0.0528 | 0.0528 |
| Check AeroVironment Volatility | Backtest AeroVironment | Information Ratio |
AeroVironment Trading Date Momentum
| On April 24 2024 AeroVironment was traded for 157.99 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 159.33 and the lowest listed price was 150.91 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on April 24, 2024 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 0.20% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare AeroVironment to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for AeroVironment
For every potential investor in AeroVironment, whether a beginner or expert, AeroVironment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AeroVironment Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AeroVironment. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AeroVironment's price trends.AeroVironment Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AeroVironment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AeroVironment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AeroVironment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AeroVironment Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AeroVironment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AeroVironment's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AeroVironment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AeroVironment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AeroVironment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AeroVironment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AeroVironment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
AeroVironment Risk Indicators
The analysis of AeroVironment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AeroVironment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aerovironment stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.17 | |||
| Variance | 17.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with AeroVironment
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AeroVironment position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AeroVironment will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with AeroVironment Stock
| 0.69 | CW | Curtiss Wright Earnings Call Next Week | PairCorr |
Moving against AeroVironment Stock
| 0.75 | EVEX | Eve Holding Financial Report 14th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | DPRO | Draganfly Financial Report 14th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | BA | Boeing Financial Report 24th of July 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | AZ | A2Z Smart Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.48 | CVU | CPI Aerostructures | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to AeroVironment could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AeroVironment when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AeroVironment - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AeroVironment to buy it.
The correlation of AeroVironment is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AeroVironment moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AeroVironment moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AeroVironment can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AeroVironment to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy AeroVironment Stock please use our How to Invest in AeroVironment guide.Note that the AeroVironment information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AeroVironment's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Complementary Tools for AeroVironment Stock analysis
When running AeroVironment's price analysis, check to measure AeroVironment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AeroVironment is operating at the current time. Most of AeroVironment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AeroVironment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AeroVironment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AeroVironment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Cryptocurrency Center Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Price Ceiling Movement Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments | |
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing | |
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments | |
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements | |
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios |
Is AeroVironment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AeroVironment. If investors know AeroVironment will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AeroVironment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | Earnings Share (4.43) | Revenue Per Share 26.551 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.388 | Return On Assets 0.068 |
The market value of AeroVironment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AeroVironment that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AeroVironment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AeroVironment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AeroVironment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AeroVironment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AeroVironment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AeroVironment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AeroVironment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.