AVEO Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AVEO Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.40  and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.39. AVEO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast AVEO Pharmaceuticals stock prices and determine the direction of AVEO Pharmaceuticals's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AVEO Pharmaceuticals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
  
Most investors in AVEO Pharmaceuticals cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the AVEO Pharmaceuticals' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets AVEO Pharmaceuticals' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for AVEO Pharmaceuticals is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

AVEO Pharmaceuticals Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AVEO Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 4.77, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AVEO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AVEO Pharmaceuticals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

AVEO Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AVEO Pharmaceuticals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AVEO Pharmaceuticals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.9966
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3756
MADMean absolute deviation0.3964
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors23.39
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of AVEO Pharmaceuticals price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of AVEO Pharmaceuticals. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for AVEO Pharmaceuticals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AVEO Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AVEO Pharmaceuticals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-9.145.0019.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AVEO Pharmaceuticals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AVEO Pharmaceuticals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AVEO Pharmaceuticals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AVEO Pharmaceuticals.

AVEO Pharmaceuticals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AVEO Pharmaceuticals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AVEO Pharmaceuticals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AVEO Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AVEO Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators

The analysis of AVEO Pharmaceuticals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AVEO Pharmaceuticals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aveo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards AVEO Pharmaceuticals in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, AVEO Pharmaceuticals' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from AVEO Pharmaceuticals options trading.

Pair Trading with AVEO Pharmaceuticals

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AVEO Pharmaceuticals position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AVEO Pharmaceuticals will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against AVEO Stock

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  0.52XOM Exxon Mobil Corp Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.46JPM JPMorgan Chase Fiscal Quarter End 31st of March 2024 PairCorr
  0.45KR Kroger Company Financial Report 20th of June 2024 PairCorr
  0.43CAT Caterpillar Fiscal Quarter End 31st of March 2024 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to AVEO Pharmaceuticals could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AVEO Pharmaceuticals when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AVEO Pharmaceuticals - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AVEO Pharmaceuticals to buy it.
The correlation of AVEO Pharmaceuticals is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AVEO Pharmaceuticals moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AVEO Pharmaceuticals moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AVEO Pharmaceuticals can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
Note that the AVEO Pharmaceuticals information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AVEO Pharmaceuticals' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

Other Consideration for investing in AVEO Stock

If you are still planning to invest in AVEO Pharmaceuticals check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the AVEO Pharmaceuticals' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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