Ballys Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BALY Stock | USD 14.17 0.33 2.28% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ballys Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.21. Ballys Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ballys Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Ballys Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ballys Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ballys Corp to cross-verify your projections. Ballys |
Most investors in Ballys Corp cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Ballys Corp's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Ballys Corp's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Ballys Corp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Ballys Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period. Ballys Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ballys Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ballys Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ballys Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ballys Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ballys Corp | Ballys Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ballys Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ballys Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ballys Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.46 and 19.70, respectively. We have considered Ballys Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ballys Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ballys Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.9122 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3804 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0321 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.207 |
Predictive Modules for Ballys Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ballys Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ballys Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Ballys Corp
For every potential investor in Ballys, whether a beginner or expert, Ballys Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ballys Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ballys. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ballys Corp's price trends.Ballys Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ballys Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ballys Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ballys Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ballys Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ballys Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ballys Corp's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ballys Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ballys Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ballys Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ballys Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ballys Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Ballys Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ballys Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ballys Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ballys stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.74 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.62 | |||
| Variance | 21.34 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.01 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.25) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Ballys Corp
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ballys Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ballys Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Ballys Stock
| 0.62 | DPZ | Dominos Pizza Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against Ballys Stock
| 0.63 | SBUX | Starbucks Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | MCD | McDonalds Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | DXLG | Destination XL Group Financial Report 23rd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | JACK | Jack In Financial Report 15th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.5 | PZZA | Papa Johns International Financial Report 2nd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ballys Corp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ballys Corp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ballys Corp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ballys Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Ballys Corp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ballys Corp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ballys Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ballys Corp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ballys Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Ballys Stock please use our How to Invest in Ballys Corp guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Complementary Tools for Ballys Stock analysis
When running Ballys Corp's price analysis, check to measure Ballys Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ballys Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Ballys Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ballys Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ballys Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ballys Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ballys Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ballys Corp. If investors know Ballys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ballys Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Ballys Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ballys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ballys Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ballys Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ballys Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ballys Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ballys Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ballys Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ballys Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.