Vinco Ventures Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

BBIGDelisted Stock  USD 1.31  0.55  29.57%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Vinco Ventures on the next trading day is expected to be 3.74 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.43  and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.96. Vinco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Vinco Ventures stock prices and determine the direction of Vinco Ventures's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vinco Ventures' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
  
Most investors in Vinco Ventures cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Vinco Ventures' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Vinco Ventures' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Vinco Ventures polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Vinco Ventures as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Vinco Ventures Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Vinco Ventures on the next trading day is expected to be 3.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vinco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vinco Ventures' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vinco Ventures Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vinco VenturesVinco Ventures Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vinco Ventures stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vinco Ventures stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.234
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4256
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2098
SAESum of the absolute errors25.9618
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Vinco Ventures historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Vinco Ventures

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vinco Ventures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vinco Ventures' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.311.311.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.241.241.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.772.455.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vinco Ventures. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vinco Ventures' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vinco Ventures' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vinco Ventures.

Vinco Ventures Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vinco Ventures stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vinco Ventures could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vinco Ventures by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vinco Ventures Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vinco Ventures stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vinco Ventures shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vinco Ventures stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vinco Ventures entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vinco Ventures Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vinco Ventures' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vinco Ventures' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vinco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Vinco Ventures in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Vinco Ventures' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Vinco Ventures options trading.

Pair Trading with Vinco Ventures

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Vinco Ventures position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vinco Ventures will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Vinco Stock

  0.66DSHK Drive ShackPairCorr

Moving against Vinco Stock

  0.52DSHKP Drive Shack Potential GrowthPairCorr
  0.48DSHKO Drive ShackPairCorr
  0.42DSHKN Drive ShackPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Vinco Ventures could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Vinco Ventures when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Vinco Ventures - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Vinco Ventures to buy it.
The correlation of Vinco Ventures is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Vinco Ventures moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Vinco Ventures moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Vinco Ventures can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

Other Consideration for investing in Vinco Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Vinco Ventures check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Vinco Ventures' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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