Braddock Multi Mutual Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

BDKAX Fund  USD 6.49  0.01  0.15%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Braddock Multi Strategy Income on the next trading day is expected to be 6.49 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.01  and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.60. Braddock Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Braddock Multi stock prices and determine the direction of Braddock Multi Strategy Income's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Braddock Multi's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Braddock Multi to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Braddock Multi cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, fund markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Braddock Multi's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Braddock Multi's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Braddock Multi Strategy Income is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Braddock Multi 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Braddock Multi Strategy Income on the next trading day is expected to be 6.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Braddock Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Braddock Multi's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Braddock Multi Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Braddock Multi Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Braddock Multi's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Braddock Multi's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.33 and 6.64, respectively. We have considered Braddock Multi's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.49
6.49
Expected Value
6.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Braddock Multi mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Braddock Multi mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.1518
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0058
MADMean absolute deviation0.0106
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0016
SAESum of the absolute errors0.6025
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Braddock Multi. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Braddock Multi Strategy Income and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Braddock Multi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Braddock Multi Strategy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Braddock Multi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.336.496.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.805.967.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Braddock Multi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Braddock Multi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Braddock Multi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Braddock Multi Strategy.

Other Forecasting Options for Braddock Multi

For every potential investor in Braddock, whether a beginner or expert, Braddock Multi's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Braddock Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Braddock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Braddock Multi's price trends.

Braddock Multi Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Braddock Multi mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Braddock Multi could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Braddock Multi by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Braddock Multi Strategy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Braddock Multi's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Braddock Multi's current price.

Braddock Multi Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Braddock Multi mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Braddock Multi shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Braddock Multi mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Braddock Multi Strategy Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Braddock Multi Risk Indicators

The analysis of Braddock Multi's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Braddock Multi's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting braddock mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Braddock Multi in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Braddock Multi's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Braddock Multi options trading.

Pair Trading with Braddock Multi

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Braddock Multi position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Braddock Multi will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Braddock Mutual Fund

  0.64ROBAX Robinson Tax AdvantagedPairCorr
  1.0BDKNX Braddock Multi StrategyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Braddock Multi could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Braddock Multi when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Braddock Multi - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Braddock Multi Strategy Income to buy it.
The correlation of Braddock Multi is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Braddock Multi moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Braddock Multi Strategy moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Braddock Multi can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Braddock Multi to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Braddock Multi Strategy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Braddock Multi's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Braddock Multi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Braddock Multi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Braddock Multi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.