Berkshire Hills Stock Forecast - Expected Short fall
| BHLB Stock | USD 20.98 0.45 2.19% |
Berkshire Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Berkshire Hills stock prices and determine the direction of Berkshire Hills Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Berkshire Hills' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Berkshire Hills' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Berkshire Hills' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Berkshire Hills fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Berkshire Hills to cross-verify your projections. Berkshire |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Berkshire Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Berkshire Hills' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Berkshire Hills' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Berkshire Hills stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Berkshire Hills' open interest, investors have to compare it to Berkshire Hills' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Berkshire Hills is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Berkshire. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Berkshire Hills cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Berkshire Hills' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Berkshire Hills' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
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Berkshire Hills Trading Date Momentum
| On April 19 2024 Berkshire Hills Bancorp was traded for 20.98 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 21.19 and the lowest listed price was 20.50 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on April 19, 2024 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 2.29% . |
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Other Forecasting Options for Berkshire Hills
For every potential investor in Berkshire, whether a beginner or expert, Berkshire Hills' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Berkshire Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Berkshire. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Berkshire Hills' price trends.Berkshire Hills Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Berkshire Hills stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Berkshire Hills could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Berkshire Hills by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Berkshire Hills Bancorp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Berkshire Hills' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Berkshire Hills' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Berkshire Hills Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Berkshire Hills stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Berkshire Hills shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Berkshire Hills stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Berkshire Hills Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Berkshire Hills Risk Indicators
The analysis of Berkshire Hills' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Berkshire Hills' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting berkshire stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Variance | 3.78 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Berkshire Hills
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Berkshire Hills position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Berkshire Hills will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Berkshire Stock
| 0.85 | AX | Axos Financial Financial Report 25th of April 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.91 | BY | Byline Bancorp Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | PB | Prosperity Bancshares Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against Berkshire Stock
| 0.64 | TECTP | Tectonic Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.58 | KB | KB Financial Group Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | WF | Woori Financial Group Financial Report 21st of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | CFG-PD | Citizens Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.48 | VBFC | Village Bank | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Berkshire Hills could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Berkshire Hills when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Berkshire Hills - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Berkshire Hills Bancorp to buy it.
The correlation of Berkshire Hills is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Berkshire Hills moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Berkshire Hills Bancorp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Berkshire Hills can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Berkshire Hills to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for Berkshire Stock analysis
When running Berkshire Hills' price analysis, check to measure Berkshire Hills' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Berkshire Hills is operating at the current time. Most of Berkshire Hills' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Berkshire Hills' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Berkshire Hills' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Berkshire Hills to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Berkshire Hills' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Berkshire Hills. If investors know Berkshire will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Berkshire Hills listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.075 | Dividend Share 0.72 | Earnings Share 1.6 | Revenue Per Share 8.774 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.31) |
The market value of Berkshire Hills Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Berkshire that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Berkshire Hills' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Berkshire Hills' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Berkshire Hills' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Berkshire Hills' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Berkshire Hills' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Berkshire Hills is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Berkshire Hills' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.