ProShares UltraShort Etf Forecast - Polynomial Regression

BIS Etf  USD 17.44  0.50  2.79%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq on the next trading day is expected to be 17.97 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.31  and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.40. ProShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ProShares UltraShort stock prices and determine the direction of ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ProShares UltraShort's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ProShares UltraShort to cross-verify your projections.
  

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 ProShares Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast ProShares UltraShort's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in ProShares UltraShort's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for ProShares UltraShort stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current ProShares UltraShort's open interest, investors have to compare it to ProShares UltraShort's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of ProShares UltraShort is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ProShares. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in ProShares UltraShort cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, etf markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the ProShares UltraShort's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets ProShares UltraShort's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
ProShares UltraShort polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

ProShares UltraShort Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq on the next trading day is expected to be 17.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ProShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ProShares UltraShort's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ProShares UltraShort Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest ProShares UltraShortProShares UltraShort Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

ProShares UltraShort Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ProShares UltraShort's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ProShares UltraShort's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.85 and 20.09, respectively. We have considered ProShares UltraShort's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.44
17.97
Expected Value
20.09
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ProShares UltraShort etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ProShares UltraShort etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1328
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3129
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0179
SAESum of the absolute errors19.3978
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the ProShares UltraShort historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for ProShares UltraShort

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProShares UltraShort. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ProShares UltraShort's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.3117.4319.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.9216.0418.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.3017.7718.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ProShares UltraShort. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ProShares UltraShort's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ProShares UltraShort's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ProShares UltraShort.

Other Forecasting Options for ProShares UltraShort

For every potential investor in ProShares, whether a beginner or expert, ProShares UltraShort's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ProShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ProShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ProShares UltraShort's price trends.

ProShares UltraShort Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ProShares UltraShort etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ProShares UltraShort could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ProShares UltraShort by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ProShares UltraShort Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ProShares UltraShort's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ProShares UltraShort's current price.

ProShares UltraShort Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ProShares UltraShort etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ProShares UltraShort shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ProShares UltraShort etf market strength indicators, traders can identify ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ProShares UltraShort Risk Indicators

The analysis of ProShares UltraShort's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ProShares UltraShort's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting proshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards ProShares UltraShort in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, ProShares UltraShort's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from ProShares UltraShort options trading.

Pair Trading with ProShares UltraShort

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ProShares UltraShort position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares UltraShort will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to ProShares UltraShort could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ProShares UltraShort when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ProShares UltraShort - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq to buy it.
The correlation of ProShares UltraShort is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ProShares UltraShort moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ProShares UltraShort moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ProShares UltraShort can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether ProShares UltraShort is a strong investment it is important to analyze ProShares UltraShort's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ProShares UltraShort's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ProShares Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ProShares UltraShort to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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When running ProShares UltraShort's price analysis, check to measure ProShares UltraShort's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ProShares UltraShort is operating at the current time. Most of ProShares UltraShort's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ProShares UltraShort's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ProShares UltraShort's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ProShares UltraShort to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of ProShares UltraShort is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProShares UltraShort's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProShares UltraShort's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ProShares UltraShort's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProShares UltraShort's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares UltraShort's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares UltraShort is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProShares UltraShort's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.