Cambria ETF Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| BLDG Etf | USD 23.89 0.23 0.97% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cambria ETF Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 23.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.02. Cambria Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Cambria ETF stock prices and determine the direction of Cambria ETF Trust's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cambria ETF's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cambria ETF to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Cambria Etf please use our How to Invest in Cambria ETF guide.Cambria |
Most investors in Cambria ETF cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, etf markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Cambria ETF's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Cambria ETF's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Cambria ETF works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality. Cambria ETF Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cambria ETF Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 23.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cambria Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cambria ETF's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cambria ETF Etf Forecast Pattern
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Cambria ETF Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cambria ETF's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cambria ETF's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.96 and 24.80, respectively. We have considered Cambria ETF's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cambria ETF etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cambria ETF etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0357 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1868 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0078 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.0189 |
Predictive Modules for Cambria ETF
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cambria ETF Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cambria ETF's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Cambria ETF
For every potential investor in Cambria, whether a beginner or expert, Cambria ETF's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cambria Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cambria. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cambria ETF's price trends.Cambria ETF Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cambria ETF etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cambria ETF could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cambria ETF by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cambria ETF Trust Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cambria ETF's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cambria ETF's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cambria ETF Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cambria ETF etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cambria ETF shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cambria ETF etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Cambria ETF Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 23.89 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 23.89 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.12 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.23 |
Cambria ETF Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cambria ETF's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cambria ETF's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cambria etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7186 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9118 | |||
| Variance | 0.8314 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Cambria ETF
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Cambria ETF position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cambria ETF will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Cambria Etf
| 0.84 | VNQ | Vanguard Real Estate | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Cambria ETF could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Cambria ETF when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Cambria ETF - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Cambria ETF Trust to buy it.
The correlation of Cambria ETF is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Cambria ETF moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Cambria ETF Trust moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Cambria ETF can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cambria ETF to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Cambria Etf please use our How to Invest in Cambria ETF guide.Note that the Cambria ETF Trust information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Cambria ETF's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
The market value of Cambria ETF Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cambria that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cambria ETF's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cambria ETF's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cambria ETF's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cambria ETF's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cambria ETF's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cambria ETF is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cambria ETF's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.