BrainChip Holdings OTC Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| BRCHF Stock | USD 0.22 0.02 10.00% |
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of BrainChip Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.29. BrainChip OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast BrainChip Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of BrainChip Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BrainChip Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BrainChip Holdings to cross-verify your projections. BrainChip |
Most investors in BrainChip Holdings cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the BrainChip Holdings' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets BrainChip Holdings' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for BrainChip Holdings is based on an artificially constructed time series of BrainChip Holdings daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time. BrainChip Holdings 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of BrainChip Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BrainChip OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BrainChip Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BrainChip Holdings OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
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BrainChip Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BrainChip Holdings' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BrainChip Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 9.94, respectively. We have considered BrainChip Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BrainChip Holdings otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BrainChip Holdings otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 96.6079 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0092 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0244 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1099 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.2925 |
Predictive Modules for BrainChip Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BrainChip Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BrainChip Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for BrainChip Holdings
For every potential investor in BrainChip, whether a beginner or expert, BrainChip Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BrainChip OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BrainChip. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BrainChip Holdings' price trends.BrainChip Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BrainChip Holdings otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BrainChip Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BrainChip Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BrainChip Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BrainChip Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BrainChip Holdings' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BrainChip Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BrainChip Holdings otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BrainChip Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BrainChip Holdings otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BrainChip Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
BrainChip Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of BrainChip Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BrainChip Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brainchip otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.88 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.54 | |||
| Variance | 91.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 92.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 39.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (12.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards BrainChip Holdings in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, BrainChip Holdings' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from BrainChip Holdings options trading.
Pair Trading with BrainChip Holdings
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if BrainChip Holdings position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in BrainChip Holdings will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with BrainChip OTC Stock
| 0.8 | NVDA | NVIDIA Financial Report 22nd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Financial Report 18th of July 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | AVGO | Broadcom Financial Report 6th of June 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.72 | QCOM | Qualcomm Incorporated Financial Report 1st of May 2024 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to BrainChip Holdings could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace BrainChip Holdings when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back BrainChip Holdings - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling BrainChip Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of BrainChip Holdings is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as BrainChip Holdings moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if BrainChip Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for BrainChip Holdings can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BrainChip Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Note that the BrainChip Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BrainChip Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Complementary Tools for BrainChip OTC Stock analysis
When running BrainChip Holdings' price analysis, check to measure BrainChip Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BrainChip Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of BrainChip Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BrainChip Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BrainChip Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BrainChip Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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