Peabody Energy Stock Forecast - Potential Upside
| BTU Stock | USD 24.09 0.06 0.25% |
Peabody Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Peabody Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Peabody Energy Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Peabody Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Peabody Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Peabody Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Peabody Energy fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Peabody Energy to cross-verify your projections. Peabody |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Peabody Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Peabody Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Peabody Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Peabody Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Peabody Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to Peabody Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Peabody Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Peabody. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Peabody Energy cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Peabody Energy's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Peabody Energy's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
| Check Peabody Energy Volatility | Backtest Peabody Energy | Information Ratio |
Peabody Energy Trading Date Momentum
| On April 19 2024 Peabody Energy Corp was traded for 24.09 at the closing time. Highest Peabody Energy's price during the trading hours was 24.51 and the lowest price during the day was 23.97 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 19th of April did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.04% . |
| Compare Peabody Energy to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Peabody Energy
For every potential investor in Peabody, whether a beginner or expert, Peabody Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Peabody Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Peabody. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Peabody Energy's price trends.Peabody Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Peabody Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Peabody Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Peabody Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Peabody Energy Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Peabody Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Peabody Energy's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Peabody Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Peabody Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Peabody Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Peabody Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Peabody Energy Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Peabody Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Peabody Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Peabody Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting peabody stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.07 | |||
| Variance | 4.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.17 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.8 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.52) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Peabody Energy Investors Sentiment
The influence of Peabody Energy's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Peabody. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Peabody Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Peabody. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Peabody can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Peabody Energy Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Peabody Energy's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Peabody Energy's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Peabody Energy's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Peabody Energy.
Peabody Energy Implied Volatility | 52.59 |
Peabody Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Peabody Energy Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Peabody Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Peabody Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Peabody Energy's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Peabody Energy in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Peabody Energy's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Peabody Energy options trading.
Pair Trading with Peabody Energy
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Peabody Energy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Peabody Energy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Peabody Stock
| 0.78 | HNRG | Hallador Energy Financial Report 13th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
Moving against Peabody Stock
| 0.63 | DK | Delek Energy Financial Report 13th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | PR | Permian Resources Financial Report 13th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | SM | SM Energy Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | BP | BP PLC ADR Financial Report 7th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.6 | SU | Suncor Energy Financial Report 13th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Peabody Energy could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Peabody Energy when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Peabody Energy - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Peabody Energy Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Peabody Energy is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Peabody Energy moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Peabody Energy Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Peabody Energy can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Peabody Energy to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Complementary Tools for Peabody Stock analysis
When running Peabody Energy's price analysis, check to measure Peabody Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Peabody Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Peabody Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Peabody Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Peabody Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Peabody Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Peabody Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Peabody Energy. If investors know Peabody will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Peabody Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | Dividend Share 0.225 | Earnings Share 5 | Revenue Per Share 35.95 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.24) |
The market value of Peabody Energy Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Peabody that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Peabody Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Peabody Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Peabody Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Peabody Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Peabody Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Peabody Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Peabody Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.