Cable One Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

CABO Stock  USD 407.42  0.51  0.13%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Cable One on the next trading day is expected to be 376.41 with a mean absolute deviation of  12.72  and the sum of the absolute errors of 775.92. Cable Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Cable One stock prices and determine the direction of Cable One's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cable One's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Cable One's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cable One's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cable One fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cable One to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Cable Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cable One guide.
  
At this time, Cable One's Inventory Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 24th of April 2024, Receivables Turnover is likely to grow to 24.56, while Payables Turnover is likely to drop 7.78. . As of the 24th of April 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 6.5 M, while Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop about 203.5 M.
Most investors in Cable One cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Cable One's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Cable One's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Cable One price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Cable One Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Cable One on the next trading day is expected to be 376.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.72, mean absolute percentage error of 278.88, and the sum of the absolute errors of 775.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cable Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cable One's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cable One Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cable OneCable One Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Cable One Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cable One's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cable One's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 373.90 and 378.93, respectively. We have considered Cable One's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
407.42
373.90
Downside
376.41
Expected Value
378.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cable One stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cable One stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.7413
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation12.72
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0282
SAESum of the absolute errors775.9226
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Cable One historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Cable One

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cable One. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cable One's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
404.56407.08409.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
366.68501.31503.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
372.19408.26444.34
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
771.83848.17941.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cable One. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cable One's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cable One's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cable One.

Other Forecasting Options for Cable One

For every potential investor in Cable, whether a beginner or expert, Cable One's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cable Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cable. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cable One's price trends.

View Cable One Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cable One Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cable One's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cable One's current price.

Cable One Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cable One stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cable One shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cable One stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cable One entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cable One Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cable One's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cable One's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cable stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Cable One Investors Sentiment

The influence of Cable One's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Cable. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Cable One's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cable. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cable can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cable One. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Cable One's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Cable One's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Cable One's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Cable One.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Cable One in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Cable One's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Cable One options trading.

Pair Trading with Cable One

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Cable One position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cable One will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Cable Stock

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Moving against Cable Stock

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  0.61CURIW CuriosityStreamPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Cable One could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Cable One when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Cable One - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Cable One to buy it.
The correlation of Cable One is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Cable One moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Cable One moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Cable One can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Cable One offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cable One's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cable One Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cable One Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cable One to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Cable Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cable One guide.
Note that the Cable One information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Cable One's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Complementary Tools for Cable Stock analysis

When running Cable One's price analysis, check to measure Cable One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cable One is operating at the current time. Most of Cable One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cable One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cable One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cable One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cable One's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cable One. If investors know Cable will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cable One listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.41)
Dividend Share
11.6
Earnings Share
45.14
Revenue Per Share
297.062
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of Cable One is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cable that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cable One's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cable One's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cable One's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cable One's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cable One's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cable One is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cable One's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.