Canadian Utilities Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

CDUUFDelisted Stock  USD 28.18  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Canadian Utilities Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 28.18 with a mean absolute deviation of  0  and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Canadian Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Canadian Utilities stock prices and determine the direction of Canadian Utilities Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Canadian Utilities' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
  
Most investors in Canadian Utilities cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Canadian Utilities' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Canadian Utilities' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Canadian Utilities is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Canadian Utilities Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Canadian Utilities Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Canadian Utilities Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 28.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Canadian Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Canadian Utilities' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Canadian Utilities Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Canadian UtilitiesCanadian Utilities Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Canadian Utilities pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Canadian Utilities pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria53.9956
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Canadian Utilities Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Canadian Utilities. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Canadian Utilities

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canadian Utilities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Canadian Utilities' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.1828.1828.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.9523.9531.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Canadian Utilities. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Canadian Utilities' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Canadian Utilities' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Canadian Utilities.

Canadian Utilities Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Canadian Utilities pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Canadian Utilities could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Canadian Utilities by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Canadian Utilities Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Canadian Utilities pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Canadian Utilities shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Canadian Utilities pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Canadian Utilities Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pair Trading with Canadian Utilities

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Canadian Utilities position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Canadian Utilities will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Canadian Utilities could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Canadian Utilities when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Canadian Utilities - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Canadian Utilities Limited to buy it.
The correlation of Canadian Utilities is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Canadian Utilities moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Canadian Utilities moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Canadian Utilities can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

Other Consideration for investing in Canadian Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Canadian Utilities check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Canadian Utilities' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account