Chimera Investment Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

CIM Stock  USD 4.61  0.07  1.54%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Chimera Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 4.54 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.08  and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.80. Chimera Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Chimera Investment stock prices and determine the direction of Chimera Investment's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Chimera Investment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Chimera Investment's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Chimera Investment's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Chimera Investment fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chimera Investment to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Chimera Stock, please use our How to Invest in Chimera Investment guide.
  
As of the 29th of March 2024, Receivables Turnover is likely to grow to 9.81, though Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to (13.91). . As of the 29th of March 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 194 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is likely to grow to about (501.7 M).

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Chimera Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Chimera Investment's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Chimera Investment's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Chimera Investment stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Chimera Investment's open interest, investors have to compare it to Chimera Investment's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Chimera Investment is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Chimera. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Chimera Investment cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Chimera Investment's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Chimera Investment's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Chimera Investment is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Chimera Investment 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Chimera Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 4.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chimera Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chimera Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Chimera Investment Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Chimera InvestmentChimera Investment Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Chimera Investment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Chimera Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chimera Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.31 and 6.78, respectively. We have considered Chimera Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.61
4.54
Expected Value
6.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chimera Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chimera Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.1902
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0115
MADMean absolute deviation0.0828
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.018
SAESum of the absolute errors4.8025
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Chimera Investment. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Chimera Investment and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Chimera Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chimera Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chimera Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.394.616.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.985.207.42
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.235.756.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chimera Investment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chimera Investment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chimera Investment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chimera Investment.

Other Forecasting Options for Chimera Investment

For every potential investor in Chimera, whether a beginner or expert, Chimera Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chimera Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chimera. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chimera Investment's price trends.

Chimera Investment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chimera Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chimera Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chimera Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Chimera Investment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Chimera Investment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Chimera Investment's current price.

Chimera Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chimera Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chimera Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chimera Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Chimera Investment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Chimera Investment Risk Indicators

The analysis of Chimera Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chimera Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chimera stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Chimera Investment in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Chimera Investment's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Chimera Investment options trading.

Pair Trading with Chimera Investment

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Chimera Investment position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Chimera Investment will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Chimera Stock

  0.9DHIL Diamond Hill InvestmentPairCorr

Moving against Chimera Stock

  0.81V Visa Class A Fiscal Quarter End 31st of March 2024 PairCorr
  0.8CG Carlyle Group Financial Report 2nd of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.78IX Orix Corp Ads Financial Report 8th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.71MCAA Mountain I AcquisitionPairCorr
  0.66MCAG Mountain Crest AcquiPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Chimera Investment could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Chimera Investment when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Chimera Investment - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Chimera Investment to buy it.
The correlation of Chimera Investment is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Chimera Investment moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Chimera Investment moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Chimera Investment can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Chimera Investment is a strong investment it is important to analyze Chimera Investment's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Chimera Investment's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Chimera Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chimera Investment to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Chimera Stock, please use our How to Invest in Chimera Investment guide.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

Complementary Tools for Chimera Stock analysis

When running Chimera Investment's price analysis, check to measure Chimera Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chimera Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Chimera Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chimera Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chimera Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chimera Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
AI Portfolio Architect
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Is Chimera Investment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chimera Investment. If investors know Chimera will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chimera Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.84)
Dividend Share
0.7
Earnings Share
0.23
Revenue Per Share
0.982
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.60)
The market value of Chimera Investment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chimera that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chimera Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chimera Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chimera Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chimera Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chimera Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chimera Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chimera Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.