Cellnex Telecom Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| CLLNY Stock | USD 16.51 0.21 1.29% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cellnex Telecom SA on the next trading day is expected to be 16.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.59. Cellnex Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Cellnex Telecom stock prices and determine the direction of Cellnex Telecom SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cellnex Telecom's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cellnex Telecom to cross-verify your projections. Cellnex |
Most investors in Cellnex Telecom cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Cellnex Telecom's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Cellnex Telecom's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Cellnex Telecom - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Cellnex Telecom prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Cellnex Telecom price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Cellnex Telecom SA. Cellnex Telecom Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cellnex Telecom SA on the next trading day is expected to be 16.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.59.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cellnex Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cellnex Telecom's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cellnex Telecom Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Cellnex Telecom Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cellnex Telecom's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cellnex Telecom's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.71 and 18.25, respectively. We have considered Cellnex Telecom's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cellnex Telecom pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cellnex Telecom pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0501 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2643 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.015 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.5936 |
Predictive Modules for Cellnex Telecom
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cellnex Telecom SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cellnex Telecom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Cellnex Telecom
For every potential investor in Cellnex, whether a beginner or expert, Cellnex Telecom's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cellnex Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cellnex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cellnex Telecom's price trends.Cellnex Telecom Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cellnex Telecom pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cellnex Telecom could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cellnex Telecom by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cellnex Telecom SA Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cellnex Telecom's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cellnex Telecom's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cellnex Telecom Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cellnex Telecom pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cellnex Telecom shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cellnex Telecom pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Cellnex Telecom SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cellnex Telecom Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cellnex Telecom's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cellnex Telecom's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cellnex pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Variance | 3.14 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Cellnex Telecom in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Cellnex Telecom's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Cellnex Telecom options trading.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cellnex Telecom to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Complementary Tools for Cellnex Pink Sheet analysis
When running Cellnex Telecom's price analysis, check to measure Cellnex Telecom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cellnex Telecom is operating at the current time. Most of Cellnex Telecom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cellnex Telecom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cellnex Telecom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cellnex Telecom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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