Clever Leaves Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CLVR Stock | USD 4.53 0.49 9.76% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Clever Leaves Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 4.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.95. Clever Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Clever Leaves stock prices and determine the direction of Clever Leaves Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Clever Leaves' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Clever Leaves' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Clever Leaves' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Clever Leaves fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clever Leaves to cross-verify your projections. Clever |
Most investors in Clever Leaves cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Clever Leaves' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Clever Leaves' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Clever Leaves simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Clever Leaves Holdings are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Clever Leaves Holdings prices get older. Clever Leaves Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of April 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Clever Leaves Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 4.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.95.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Clever Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Clever Leaves' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Clever Leaves Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Clever Leaves | Clever Leaves Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Clever Leaves Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Clever Leaves' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Clever Leaves' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 11.87, respectively. We have considered Clever Leaves' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Clever Leaves stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Clever Leaves stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.6231 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0284 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1825 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.047 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.9473 |
Predictive Modules for Clever Leaves
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clever Leaves Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Clever Leaves' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Clever Leaves
For every potential investor in Clever, whether a beginner or expert, Clever Leaves' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Clever Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Clever. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Clever Leaves' price trends.Clever Leaves Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Clever Leaves stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Clever Leaves could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Clever Leaves by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Clever Leaves Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Clever Leaves' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Clever Leaves' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Clever Leaves Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Clever Leaves stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Clever Leaves shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Clever Leaves stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Clever Leaves Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Clever Leaves Risk Indicators
The analysis of Clever Leaves' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Clever Leaves' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting clever stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.49 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.69 | |||
| Variance | 59.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 30.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 24.12 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (7.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Clever Leaves
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Clever Leaves position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Clever Leaves will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Clever Stock
| 0.89 | BIIB | Biogen Inc Financial Report 23rd of April 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | AMGN | Amgen Inc Financial Report 25th of April 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | VRTX | Vertex Pharmaceuticals Financial Report 6th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.57 | JNJ | Johnson Johnson Earnings Call Today | PairCorr |
| 0.46 | ABVC | ABVC Biopharma | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Clever Leaves could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Clever Leaves when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Clever Leaves - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Clever Leaves Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Clever Leaves is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Clever Leaves moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Clever Leaves Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Clever Leaves can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clever Leaves to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Complementary Tools for Clever Stock analysis
When running Clever Leaves' price analysis, check to measure Clever Leaves' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Clever Leaves is operating at the current time. Most of Clever Leaves' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Clever Leaves' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Clever Leaves' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Clever Leaves to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Clever Leaves' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Clever Leaves. If investors know Clever will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Clever Leaves listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (12.63) | Revenue Per Share 11.111 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.054 | Return On Assets (0.23) | Return On Equity (0.61) |
The market value of Clever Leaves Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Clever that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Clever Leaves' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Clever Leaves' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Clever Leaves' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Clever Leaves' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Clever Leaves' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Clever Leaves is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Clever Leaves' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.