Chipotle Mexican Stock Forecast - Maximum Drawdown
| CMG Stock | USD 2,869 38.86 1.34% |
Chipotle Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Chipotle Mexican stock prices and determine the direction of Chipotle Mexican Grill's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Chipotle Mexican's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Chipotle Mexican's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Chipotle Mexican's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Chipotle Mexican fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chipotle Mexican to cross-verify your projections. Chipotle |
Most investors in Chipotle Mexican cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Chipotle Mexican's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Chipotle Mexican's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
| Check Chipotle Mexican Volatility | Backtest Chipotle Mexican | Information Ratio |
Chipotle Mexican Trading Date Momentum
| On April 19 2024 Chipotle Mexican Grill was traded for 2,869 at the closing time. Highest Chipotle Mexican's price during the trading hours was 2,914 and the lowest price during the day was 2,846 . The net volume was 441.8 K. The overall trading history on the 19th of April did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 1.56% . |
| Compare Chipotle Mexican to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Chipotle Mexican
For every potential investor in Chipotle, whether a beginner or expert, Chipotle Mexican's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chipotle Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chipotle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chipotle Mexican's price trends.Chipotle Mexican Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chipotle Mexican stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chipotle Mexican could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chipotle Mexican by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Chipotle Mexican Grill Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Chipotle Mexican's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Chipotle Mexican's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Chipotle Mexican Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chipotle Mexican stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chipotle Mexican shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chipotle Mexican stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Chipotle Mexican Grill entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10258.02 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.57) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2880.01 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2876.38 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (30.33) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (38.86) |
Chipotle Mexican Risk Indicators
The analysis of Chipotle Mexican's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chipotle Mexican's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chipotle stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9267 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.3836 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Variance | 1.83 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.6818 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1472 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Chipotle Mexican Investors Sentiment
The influence of Chipotle Mexican's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Chipotle. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Chipotle Mexican's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Chipotle. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Chipotle can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Chipotle Mexican Grill. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Chipotle Mexican's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Chipotle Mexican's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Chipotle Mexican's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Chipotle Mexican.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Chipotle Mexican in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Chipotle Mexican's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Chipotle Mexican options trading.
Pair Trading with Chipotle Mexican
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Chipotle Mexican position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Chipotle Mexican will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Chipotle Stock
| 0.85 | BH | Biglari Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.89 | SG | Sweetgreen Financial Report 2nd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.9 | WING | Wingstop Financial Report 1st of May 2024 | PairCorr |
Moving against Chipotle Stock
| 0.87 | RICK | RCI Hospitality Holdings Financial Report 8th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | NDLS | Noodles Company Financial Report 8th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | GAN | Gan Financial Report 8th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | ARKR | Ark Restaurants Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | SBUX | Starbucks Financial Report 7th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Chipotle Mexican could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Chipotle Mexican when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Chipotle Mexican - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Chipotle Mexican Grill to buy it.
The correlation of Chipotle Mexican is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Chipotle Mexican moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Chipotle Mexican Grill moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Chipotle Mexican can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chipotle Mexican to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Complementary Tools for Chipotle Stock analysis
When running Chipotle Mexican's price analysis, check to measure Chipotle Mexican's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chipotle Mexican is operating at the current time. Most of Chipotle Mexican's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chipotle Mexican's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chipotle Mexican's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chipotle Mexican to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Chipotle Mexican's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chipotle Mexican. If investors know Chipotle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chipotle Mexican listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.273 | Earnings Share 44.42 | Revenue Per Share 358.253 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.154 | Return On Assets 0.1333 |
The market value of Chipotle Mexican Grill is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chipotle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chipotle Mexican's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chipotle Mexican's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chipotle Mexican's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chipotle Mexican's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chipotle Mexican's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chipotle Mexican is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chipotle Mexican's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.