Capital One Stock Forecast - Market Facilitation Index
| COF Stock | USD 142.91 1.28 0.90% |
Capital Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Capital One stock prices and determine the direction of Capital One Financial's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Capital One's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Capital One's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Capital One's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Capital One fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capital One to cross-verify your projections. Capital |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Capital Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Capital One's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Capital One's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Capital One stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Capital One's open interest, investors have to compare it to Capital One's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Capital One is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Capital. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Capital One cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Capital One's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Capital One's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Market Facilitation Index is simply a difference between period high and low prices divided by period trading volume.| Check Capital One Volatility | Backtest Capital One | Information Ratio |
Capital One Trading Date Momentum
| On April 19 2024 Capital One Financial was traded for 142.91 at the closing time. Highest Capital One's price during the trading hours was 145.19 and the lowest price during the day was 142.26 . The net volume was 2.5 M. The overall trading history on the 19th of April did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.45% . |
Market Facilitation Index was developed by Dr. Bill Williams. This indicator can help to determine either strong or week signal that can follow the current trend line by looking at how Market Facilitation index correlates with trading volume over time.
| Compare Capital One to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Capital One
For every potential investor in Capital, whether a beginner or expert, Capital One's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Capital Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Capital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Capital One's price trends.Capital One Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Capital One stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Capital One could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Capital One by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Capital One Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Capital One's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Capital One's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Capital One Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Capital One stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Capital One shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Capital One stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Capital One Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 51073.34 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4369 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 143.73 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 143.45 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.17) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.28 |
Capital One Risk Indicators
The analysis of Capital One's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Capital One's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting capital stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Variance | 2.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Capital One Investors Sentiment
The influence of Capital One's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Capital. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Capital One's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Capital. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Capital can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Capital One Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Capital One's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Capital One's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Capital One's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Capital One.
Capital One Implied Volatility | 43.31 |
Capital One's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Capital One Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Capital One's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Capital One stock will not fluctuate a lot when Capital One's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Capital One in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Capital One's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Capital One options trading.
Pair Trading with Capital One
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Capital One position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Capital One will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Capital Stock
| 0.87 | AXP | American Express Earnings Call Today | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | SCHW | Charles Schwab Corp Normal Trading | PairCorr |
| 0.7 | ARES | Ares Management LP Financial Report 26th of April 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.9 | C | Citigroup Financial Report 12th of July 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | L | Loews Corp | PairCorr |
Moving against Capital Stock
| 0.73 | HG | Hamilton Insurance Report 21st of October 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.6 | AC | Associated Capital | PairCorr |
| 0.44 | BY | Byline Bancorp Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | DHIL | Diamond Hill Investment | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Capital One could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Capital One when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Capital One - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Capital One Financial to buy it.
The correlation of Capital One is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Capital One moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Capital One Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Capital One can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capital One to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Complementary Tools for Capital Stock analysis
When running Capital One's price analysis, check to measure Capital One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital One is operating at the current time. Most of Capital One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences | |
| Earnings Calls Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges | |
| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities | |
| Global Markets Map Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes |
Is Capital One's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capital One. If investors know Capital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capital One listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.45) | Dividend Share 2.4 | Earnings Share 11.95 | Revenue Per Share 68.936 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 |
The market value of Capital One Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capital One's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capital One's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capital One's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capital One's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital One's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital One is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital One's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.