Cosan SA Stock Forecast - Maximum Drawdown
| CSAN Stock | USD 10.91 0.01 0.09% |
Cosan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Cosan SA stock prices and determine the direction of Cosan SA ADR's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cosan SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Cosan SA's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cosan SA's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cosan SA fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cosan SA to cross-verify your projections. Cosan |
Most investors in Cosan SA cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Cosan SA's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Cosan SA's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
| Check Cosan SA Volatility | Backtest Cosan SA | Information Ratio |
Cosan SA Trading Date Momentum
| On April 18 2024 Cosan SA ADR was traded for 10.91 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 10.91 and the lowest listed price was 10.91 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on April 18, 2024 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 0.09% . |
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Other Forecasting Options for Cosan SA
For every potential investor in Cosan, whether a beginner or expert, Cosan SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cosan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cosan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cosan SA's price trends.Cosan SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cosan SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cosan SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cosan SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cosan SA ADR Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cosan SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cosan SA's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cosan SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cosan SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cosan SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cosan SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cosan SA ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.91 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.91 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 32.77 |
Cosan SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cosan SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cosan SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cosan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Variance | 5.03 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Cosan SA
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Cosan SA position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cosan SA will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Cosan Stock
| 0.8 | VTNR | Vertex Energy Financial Report 14th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
Moving against Cosan Stock
| 0.88 | MPC | Marathon Petroleum Corp Financial Report 7th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | AR | Antero Resources Corp Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | VLO | Valero Energy Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | BP | BP PLC ADR Financial Report 7th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.83 | AM | Antero Midstream Partners Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Cosan SA could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Cosan SA when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Cosan SA - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Cosan SA ADR to buy it.
The correlation of Cosan SA is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Cosan SA moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Cosan SA ADR moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Cosan SA can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cosan SA to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Cosan SA ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Cosan SA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Complementary Tools for Cosan Stock analysis
When running Cosan SA's price analysis, check to measure Cosan SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cosan SA is operating at the current time. Most of Cosan SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cosan SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cosan SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cosan SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cosan SA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cosan SA. If investors know Cosan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cosan SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.389 | Earnings Share (0.20) | Revenue Per Share 84.536 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) | Return On Assets 0.0499 |
The market value of Cosan SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cosan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cosan SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cosan SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cosan SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cosan SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cosan SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cosan SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cosan SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.