# China Taiping Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

 CTIHY Stock USD 26.01  0.00  0.00%
The Simple Regression forecasted value of China Taiping Insurance on the next trading day is expected to be 27.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 85.92. China Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
 China
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through China Taiping price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

## China Taiping Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 15th of August 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of China Taiping Insurance on the next trading day is expected to be 27.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.41, mean absolute percentage error of 2.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 85.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict China Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that China Taiping's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

## China Taiping Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting China Taiping's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. China Taiping's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.78 and 31.53, respectively. We have considered China Taiping's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
 22.78Downside 27.15Expected ValueTarget Odds 31.53Upside

## Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China Taiping pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China Taiping pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
 AIC Akaike Information Criteria 119.1657 Bias Arithmetic mean of the errors None MAD Mean absolute deviation 1.4085 MAPE Mean absolute percentage error 0.0655 SAE Sum of the absolute errors 85.9174
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as China Taiping Insurance historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

## Predictive Modules for China Taiping

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Taiping Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Taiping's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
 Low Estimated High 21.64 26.01 30.38
Intrinsic
Valuation
 Low Real High 24.37 28.74 33.11
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
 Low Middle High 26.01 26.01 26.01
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Taiping. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Taiping's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Taiping's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Taiping Insurance.

## Other Forecasting Options for China Taiping

For every potential investor in China, whether a beginner or expert, China Taiping's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. China Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in China. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying China Taiping's price trends.

## China Taiping Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with China Taiping pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of China Taiping could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Taiping by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return Correlation

## China Taiping Insurance Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of China Taiping's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of China Taiping's current price.
 Cycle Indicators Math Operators Math Transform Momentum Indicators Overlap Studies Pattern Recognition Price Transform Statistic Functions Volatility Indicators Volume Indicators

## China Taiping Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how China Taiping pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading China Taiping shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying China Taiping pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify China Taiping Insurance entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

## China Taiping Risk Indicators

The analysis of China Taiping's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in China Taiping's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting china pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
 Mean Deviation 1.03 Standard Deviation 4.24 Variance 17.97
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

## Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

## Additional Tools for China Pink Sheet Analysis

When running China Taiping's price analysis, check to measure China Taiping's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Taiping is operating at the current time. Most of China Taiping's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Taiping's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Taiping's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Taiping to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.