CTO Realty Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

CTO Stock  USD 16.90  0.18  1.08%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CTO Realty Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 16.80 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.17  and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.28. CTO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CTO Realty stock prices and determine the direction of CTO Realty Growth's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CTO Realty's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although CTO Realty's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of CTO Realty's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of CTO Realty fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CTO Realty to cross-verify your projections.
  
As of the 28th of March 2024, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 271.50, though Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to (4.61). . As of the 28th of March 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 14.3 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is likely to grow to about (1.8 M).
Most investors in CTO Realty cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the CTO Realty's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets CTO Realty's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for CTO Realty is based on an artificially constructed time series of CTO Realty daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

CTO Realty 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CTO Realty Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 16.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CTO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CTO Realty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CTO Realty Stock Forecast Pattern

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CTO Realty Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CTO Realty's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CTO Realty's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.75 and 17.85, respectively. We have considered CTO Realty's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.90
16.80
Expected Value
17.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CTO Realty stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CTO Realty stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.2951
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0035
MADMean absolute deviation0.1718
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0104
SAESum of the absolute errors9.2787
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. CTO Realty Growth 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for CTO Realty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CTO Realty Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CTO Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.8516.9017.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.2118.7319.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.5716.7616.96
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.9220.7923.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CTO Realty. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CTO Realty's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CTO Realty's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CTO Realty Growth.

Other Forecasting Options for CTO Realty

For every potential investor in CTO, whether a beginner or expert, CTO Realty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CTO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CTO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CTO Realty's price trends.

CTO Realty Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CTO Realty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CTO Realty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CTO Realty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CTO Realty Growth Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CTO Realty's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CTO Realty's current price.

CTO Realty Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CTO Realty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CTO Realty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CTO Realty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CTO Realty Growth entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CTO Realty Risk Indicators

The analysis of CTO Realty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CTO Realty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cto stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with CTO Realty

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CTO Realty position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CTO Realty will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against CTO Stock

  0.6NLOP Net Lease Office Symbol ChangePairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to CTO Realty could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace CTO Realty when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back CTO Realty - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling CTO Realty Growth to buy it.
The correlation of CTO Realty is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as CTO Realty moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if CTO Realty Growth moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for CTO Realty can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether CTO Realty Growth offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of CTO Realty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cto Realty Growth Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cto Realty Growth Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CTO Realty to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

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Is CTO Realty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CTO Realty. If investors know CTO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CTO Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.66)
Dividend Share
1.52
Earnings Share
0.03
Revenue Per Share
4.843
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.326
The market value of CTO Realty Growth is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CTO Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CTO Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CTO Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CTO Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CTO Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CTO Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CTO Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.