Doubledown InteractiveCo Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| DDI Stock | USD 10.65 0.38 3.70% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Doubledown InteractiveCo on the next trading day is expected to be 10.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.19. Doubledown Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Doubledown InteractiveCo stock prices and determine the direction of Doubledown InteractiveCo's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Doubledown InteractiveCo's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Doubledown InteractiveCo's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Doubledown InteractiveCo's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Doubledown InteractiveCo fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Doubledown InteractiveCo to cross-verify your projections. Doubledown |
Most investors in Doubledown InteractiveCo cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Doubledown InteractiveCo's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Doubledown InteractiveCo's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Doubledown InteractiveCo - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Doubledown InteractiveCo prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Doubledown InteractiveCo price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Doubledown InteractiveCo. Doubledown InteractiveCo Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 20th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Doubledown InteractiveCo on the next trading day is expected to be 10.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Doubledown Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Doubledown InteractiveCo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Doubledown InteractiveCo Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Doubledown InteractiveCo | Doubledown InteractiveCo Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Doubledown InteractiveCo Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Doubledown InteractiveCo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Doubledown InteractiveCo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.08 and 16.17, respectively. We have considered Doubledown InteractiveCo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Doubledown InteractiveCo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Doubledown InteractiveCo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0599 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4778 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0412 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 28.1879 |
Predictive Modules for Doubledown InteractiveCo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Doubledown InteractiveCo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Doubledown InteractiveCo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Doubledown InteractiveCo
For every potential investor in Doubledown, whether a beginner or expert, Doubledown InteractiveCo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Doubledown Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Doubledown. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Doubledown InteractiveCo's price trends.Doubledown InteractiveCo Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Doubledown InteractiveCo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Doubledown InteractiveCo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Doubledown InteractiveCo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Doubledown InteractiveCo Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Doubledown InteractiveCo's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Doubledown InteractiveCo's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Doubledown InteractiveCo Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Doubledown InteractiveCo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Doubledown InteractiveCo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Doubledown InteractiveCo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Doubledown InteractiveCo entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Doubledown InteractiveCo Risk Indicators
The analysis of Doubledown InteractiveCo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Doubledown InteractiveCo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting doubledown stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.61 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.42 | |||
| Variance | 29.42 | |||
| Downside Variance | 20.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 15.42 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.05) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Doubledown InteractiveCo in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Doubledown InteractiveCo's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Doubledown InteractiveCo options trading.
Pair Trading with Doubledown InteractiveCo
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Doubledown InteractiveCo position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Doubledown InteractiveCo will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Doubledown Stock
| 0.74 | GIGM | Giga Media | PairCorr |
| 0.48 | MSGM | Motorsport Gaming | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | GDEVW | Nexters Warrant | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | MYPSW | PLAYSTUDIOS | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Doubledown InteractiveCo could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Doubledown InteractiveCo when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Doubledown InteractiveCo - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Doubledown InteractiveCo to buy it.
The correlation of Doubledown InteractiveCo is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Doubledown InteractiveCo moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Doubledown InteractiveCo moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Doubledown InteractiveCo can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Doubledown InteractiveCo to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Doubledown Stock please use our How to Invest in Doubledown InteractiveCo guide.Note that the Doubledown InteractiveCo information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Doubledown InteractiveCo's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Complementary Tools for Doubledown Stock analysis
When running Doubledown InteractiveCo's price analysis, check to measure Doubledown InteractiveCo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Doubledown InteractiveCo is operating at the current time. Most of Doubledown InteractiveCo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Doubledown InteractiveCo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Doubledown InteractiveCo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Doubledown InteractiveCo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Doubledown InteractiveCo's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Doubledown InteractiveCo. If investors know Doubledown will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Doubledown InteractiveCo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.28 | Earnings Share 2.04 | Revenue Per Share 8.1 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.034 | Return On Assets 0.0908 |
The market value of Doubledown InteractiveCo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Doubledown that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Doubledown InteractiveCo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Doubledown InteractiveCo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Doubledown InteractiveCo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Doubledown InteractiveCo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Doubledown InteractiveCo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Doubledown InteractiveCo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Doubledown InteractiveCo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.