Destinations Global Mutual Fund Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

DGFZX Fund  USD 9.58  0.04  0.42%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Destinations Global Fixed on the next trading day is expected to be 9.57 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.01  and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.54. Destinations Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Destinations Global stock prices and determine the direction of Destinations Global Fixed's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Destinations Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Destinations Global to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Destinations Global cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, fund markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Destinations Global's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Destinations Global's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Destinations Global works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Destinations Global Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Destinations Global Fixed on the next trading day is expected to be 9.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Destinations Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Destinations Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Destinations Global Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Destinations GlobalDestinations Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Destinations Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Destinations Global's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Destinations Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.46 and 9.68, respectively. We have considered Destinations Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.58
9.57
Expected Value
9.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Destinations Global mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Destinations Global mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -7.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0091
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.001
SAESum of the absolute errors0.539
When Destinations Global Fixed prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Destinations Global Fixed trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Destinations Global observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Destinations Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Destinations Global Fixed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Destinations Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.529.629.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.728.8210.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Destinations Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Destinations Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Destinations Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Destinations Global Fixed.

Other Forecasting Options for Destinations Global

For every potential investor in Destinations, whether a beginner or expert, Destinations Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Destinations Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Destinations. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Destinations Global's price trends.

Destinations Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Destinations Global mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Destinations Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Destinations Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Destinations Global Fixed Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Destinations Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Destinations Global's current price.

Destinations Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Destinations Global mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Destinations Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Destinations Global mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Destinations Global Fixed entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Destinations Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Destinations Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Destinations Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting destinations mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Destinations Global in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Destinations Global's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Destinations Global options trading.

Pair Trading with Destinations Global

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Destinations Global position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Destinations Global will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Destinations Mutual Fund

  0.63USG USCF Gold Strategy Symbol ChangePairCorr
  0.77DIEZX Destinations InternationalPairCorr
  0.78DIEFX Destinations InternationalPairCorr
  0.98DSHZX Brinker Capital DestPairCorr
  0.91DSMFX Destinations Small-midPairCorr

Moving against Destinations Mutual Fund

  0.64FGBRX Templeton Global BondPairCorr
  0.63FBNRX Templeton Global BondPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Destinations Global could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Destinations Global when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Destinations Global - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Destinations Global Fixed to buy it.
The correlation of Destinations Global is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Destinations Global moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Destinations Global Fixed moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Destinations Global can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Destinations Global to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Destinations Global Fixed information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Destinations Global's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

Complementary Tools for Destinations Mutual Fund analysis

When running Destinations Global's price analysis, check to measure Destinations Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Destinations Global is operating at the current time. Most of Destinations Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Destinations Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Destinations Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Destinations Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Destinations Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Destinations Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Destinations Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.