Destination OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

DXLG -  USA Stock  

USD 4.94  0.02  0.40%

Destination OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Destination historical stock prices and determine the direction of Destination XL Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Destination historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Destination naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Destination XL Group systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Destination fundamentals over time.
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Destination to cross-verify your projections.

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Destination Receivables Turnover is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Receivables Turnover was at 69.39. The current year Accounts Payable Turnover is expected to grow to 15.99, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 2.00. . The current year Weighted Average Shares is expected to grow to about 52.7 M. The current year Weighted Average Shares Diluted is expected to grow to about 52.7 M.

Open Interest Agains t null Destination Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Destination's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest Destination's options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies Destination stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
No Open Interest
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Destination's open interest, investors have to compare it to Destination's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Destination is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Destination. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Destination cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Destination's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Destination's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Destination is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Destination XL Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Destination Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of July

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Destination XL Group on the next trading day is expected to be 5.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.07. Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Destination OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Destination's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Destination OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest DestinationDestination Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Destination Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Destination's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Destination's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0494 and 11.38, respectively. We have considered Destination's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.94
30th of July 2021
0.0494
Downside
5.14
Expected Value
11.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Destination otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Destination otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1756
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1815
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0572
SAESum of the absolute errors11.0733
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Destination XL Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Destination. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Destination

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Destination XL Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Destination's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Destination in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.316.2012.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.285.5911.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.144.115.07
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
7.507.507.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Destination. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Destination's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Destination's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Destination XL Group.

Other Forecasting Options for Destination

For every potential investor in Destination, whether a beginner or expert, Destination's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Destination OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Destination. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Destination's price trends.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Destination otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Destination could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Destination by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Destination XL Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Destination's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Destination's current price.

Destination Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Destination otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Destination shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Destination otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Destination XL Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Destination Risk Indicators

The analysis of Destination's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Destination's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Destination stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Destination Investors Sentiment

The influence of Destination's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Destination. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Current Sentiment - DXLG

Destination XL Group Investor Sentiment

Most of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Destination XL Group. What is your opinion about investing in Destination XL Group? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Pair Trading with Destination

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Destination position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Destination will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Destination Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Destination and L Brands. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
Run Pair Correlation  
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Destination to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Destination XL Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Destination's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

Complementary Tools for Destination OTC Stock analysis

When running Destination XL Group price analysis, check to measure Destination's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Destination is operating at the current time. Most of Destination's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Destination's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Destination's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Destination to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Destination XL Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Destination that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Destination's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Destination's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Destination's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Destination XL Group underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Destination's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Destination value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Destination's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.