Enterprise Mergers Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

EAAAX Fund  USD 13.98  0.01  0.07%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Enterprise Mergers And on the next trading day is expected to be 13.98 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.07  and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.53. Enterprise Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Enterprise Mergers stock prices and determine the direction of Enterprise Mergers And's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Enterprise Mergers' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enterprise Mergers to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Enterprise Mergers cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, fund markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Enterprise Mergers' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Enterprise Mergers' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Enterprise Mergers polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Enterprise Mergers And as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Enterprise Mergers Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Enterprise Mergers And on the next trading day is expected to be 13.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Enterprise Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Enterprise Mergers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Enterprise Mergers Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Enterprise MergersEnterprise Mergers Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Enterprise Mergers Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Enterprise Mergers' Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Enterprise Mergers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.37 and 14.59, respectively. We have considered Enterprise Mergers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.98
13.98
Expected Value
14.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Enterprise Mergers mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Enterprise Mergers mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.2891
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0742
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0052
SAESum of the absolute errors4.5258
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Enterprise Mergers historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Enterprise Mergers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enterprise Mergers And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Enterprise Mergers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.3713.9814.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.4314.0414.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.9914.3114.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Enterprise Mergers. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Enterprise Mergers' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Enterprise Mergers' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Enterprise Mergers And.

Other Forecasting Options for Enterprise Mergers

For every potential investor in Enterprise, whether a beginner or expert, Enterprise Mergers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Enterprise Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Enterprise. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Enterprise Mergers' price trends.

Enterprise Mergers Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Enterprise Mergers mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Enterprise Mergers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Enterprise Mergers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Enterprise Mergers And Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Enterprise Mergers' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Enterprise Mergers' current price.

Enterprise Mergers Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Enterprise Mergers mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Enterprise Mergers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Enterprise Mergers mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Enterprise Mergers And entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Enterprise Mergers Risk Indicators

The analysis of Enterprise Mergers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Enterprise Mergers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting enterprise mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Enterprise Mergers

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Enterprise Mergers position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Enterprise Mergers will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Enterprise Mutual Fund

  0.76GCFSX Gabelli Global FinancialPairCorr
  1.0EMACX Enterprise Mergers AndPairCorr
  0.86GWSVX Gabelli FocusPairCorr
  0.66GLDAX Gabelli GoldPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Enterprise Mergers could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Enterprise Mergers when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Enterprise Mergers - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Enterprise Mergers And to buy it.
The correlation of Enterprise Mergers is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Enterprise Mergers moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Enterprise Mergers And moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Enterprise Mergers can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enterprise Mergers to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Enterprise Mergers And information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Enterprise Mergers' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Enterprise Mergers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Enterprise Mergers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Enterprise Mergers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.