Eagle Point Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

ECCB -  USA Stock  

USD 25.12  0.01  0.0398%

Eagle Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Eagle Point historical stock prices and determine the direction of Eagle Point Credit's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Eagle Point historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eagle Point to cross-verify your projections.

Eagle Stock Forecast 

 
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Most investors in Eagle Point cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Eagle Point's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Eagle Point's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Eagle Point works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Eagle Point Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eagle Point Credit on the next trading day is expected to be 25.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00664, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.49. Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eagle Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eagle Point's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eagle Point Stock Forecast Pattern

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Eagle Point Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eagle Point's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eagle Point's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.81 and 25.43, respectively. We have considered Eagle Point's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.12
21st of January 2022
25.12
Expected Value
25.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eagle Point stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eagle Point stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0096
MADMean absolute deviation0.0591
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0024
SAESum of the absolute errors3.4897
When Eagle Point Credit prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Eagle Point Credit trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Eagle Point observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Eagle Point

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eagle Point Credit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eagle Point's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Eagle Point in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
24.8225.1325.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
24.8425.1425.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Eagle Point. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Eagle Point's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Eagle Point's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Eagle Point Credit.

Other Forecasting Options for Eagle Point

For every potential investor in Eagle, whether a beginner or expert, Eagle Point's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eagle Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eagle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eagle Point's price trends.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eagle Point stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eagle Point could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eagle Point by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Eagle Point Credit Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Eagle Point's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Eagle Point's current price.

Eagle Point Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eagle Point stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eagle Point shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eagle Point stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eagle Point Credit entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eagle Point Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eagle Point's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eagle Point's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Eagle Point stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Eagle Point Investors Sentiment

The influence of Eagle Point's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Eagle. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Eagle Point in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Eagle Point's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Eagle Point options trading.

Current Sentiment - ECCB

Eagle Point Credit Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are insensible in their opinion about investing in Eagle Point Credit. What is your opinion about investing in Eagle Point Credit? Are you bullish or bearish?
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50% Bullish
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Pair Trading with Eagle Point

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Eagle Point position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Eagle Point will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Eagle Point Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Eagle Point and Apollo Asset Management. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
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Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eagle Point to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Eagle Point Credit information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Eagle Point's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for Eagle Stock analysis

When running Eagle Point Credit price analysis, check to measure Eagle Point's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eagle Point is operating at the current time. Most of Eagle Point's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eagle Point's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eagle Point's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eagle Point to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Eagle Point's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eagle Point. If investors know Eagle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eagle Point listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Eagle Point Credit is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eagle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eagle Point's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eagle Point's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eagle Point's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eagle Point's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eagle Point's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Eagle Point value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eagle Point's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.