Van Eck Mutual Fund Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

EMBUX -  USA Fund  

USD 6.17  0.01  0.16%

EMBUX Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Van Eck historical stock prices and determine the direction of Van Eck Fds's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Van Eck historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Van Eck to cross-verify your projections.

EMBUX Mutual Fund Forecast 

 
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Most investors in Van Eck cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Van Eck's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Van Eck's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Van Eck is based on an artificially constructed time series of Van Eck daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Van Eck 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Van Eck Fds on the next trading day is expected to be 6.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.033986, mean absolute percentage error of 0.001856, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.80. Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EMBUX Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Van Eck's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Van Eck Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Van Eck Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Van Eck's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Van Eck's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.97 and 6.44, respectively. We have considered Van Eck's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.17
1st of December 2021
6.20
Expected Value
6.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Van Eck mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Van Eck mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria97.1182
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0294
MADMean absolute deviation0.034
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0054
SAESum of the absolute errors1.8013
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Van Eck Fds 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Van Eck

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Van Eck Fds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Van Eck's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Van Eck in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
5.946.176.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.996.226.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.186.316.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Van Eck. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Van Eck's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Van Eck's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Van Eck Fds.

Other Forecasting Options for Van Eck

For every potential investor in EMBUX, whether a beginner or expert, Van Eck's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EMBUX Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EMBUX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Van Eck's price trends.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Van Eck mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Van Eck could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Van Eck by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Van Eck Fds Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Van Eck's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Van Eck's current price.

Van Eck Risk Indicators

The analysis of Van Eck's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Van Eck's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Van Eck stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Van Eck Investors Sentiment

The influence of Van Eck's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in EMBUX. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Van Eck in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Van Eck's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Van Eck options trading.

Current Sentiment - EMBUX

Van Eck Fds Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are insensible in their opinion about investing in Van Eck Fds. What is your outlook on investing in Van Eck Fds? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
50% Bullish
50% Bearish
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Pair Trading with Van Eck

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Van Eck position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Van Eck will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Van Eck Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Van Eck and MFS Emerging Markets. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
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Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Van Eck to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Van Eck Fds information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Van Eck's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

Complementary Tools for EMBUX Mutual Fund analysis

When running Van Eck Fds price analysis, check to measure Van Eck's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Van Eck is operating at the current time. Most of Van Eck's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Van Eck's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Van Eck's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Van Eck to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Van Eck's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Van Eck value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Van Eck's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.