Mainstay Epoch Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| EPSHXDelisted Fund | USD 21.57 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Mainstay Epoch Global on the next trading day is expected to be 21.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.98. Mainstay Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mainstay Epoch stock prices and determine the direction of Mainstay Epoch Global's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mainstay Epoch's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate. Mainstay |
Most investors in Mainstay Epoch cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, fund markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Mainstay Epoch's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Mainstay Epoch's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Mainstay Epoch is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility. Mainstay Epoch Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Mainstay Epoch Global on the next trading day is expected to be 21.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mainstay Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mainstay Epoch's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mainstay Epoch Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mainstay Epoch | Mainstay Epoch Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mainstay Epoch mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mainstay Epoch mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.3653 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0407 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1014 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0049 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.98 |
Predictive Modules for Mainstay Epoch
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mainstay Epoch Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mainstay Epoch's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mainstay Epoch Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mainstay Epoch mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mainstay Epoch could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mainstay Epoch by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mainstay Epoch Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mainstay Epoch mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mainstay Epoch shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mainstay Epoch mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Mainstay Epoch Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Mainstay Epoch Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mainstay Epoch's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mainstay Epoch's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mainstay mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3934 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.3676 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5374 | |||
| Variance | 0.2888 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4085 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1351 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.44) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Mainstay Epoch
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Mainstay Epoch position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mainstay Epoch will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Mainstay Mutual Fund
| 0.68 | TEDRX | Franklin Mutual Global | PairCorr |
| 0.69 | FMDRX | Franklin Mutual Global | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | DOXWX | Dodge Cox Global | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | DODWX | Dodge Global Stock | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | TRZRX | T Rowe Price | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Mainstay Epoch could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Mainstay Epoch when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Mainstay Epoch - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Mainstay Epoch Global to buy it.
The correlation of Mainstay Epoch is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Mainstay Epoch moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Mainstay Epoch Global moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Mainstay Epoch can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate. Note that the Mainstay Epoch Global information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mainstay Epoch's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Other Consideration for investing in Mainstay Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in Mainstay Epoch Global check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Mainstay Epoch's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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