Mainstay Epoch Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

EPSHXDelisted Fund  USD 21.57  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Mainstay Epoch Global on the next trading day is expected to be 21.51 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.16  and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.99. Mainstay Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mainstay Epoch stock prices and determine the direction of Mainstay Epoch Global's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mainstay Epoch's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
  
Most investors in Mainstay Epoch cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, fund markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Mainstay Epoch's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Mainstay Epoch's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Mainstay Epoch price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Mainstay Epoch Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Mainstay Epoch Global on the next trading day is expected to be 21.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.99.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mainstay Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mainstay Epoch's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mainstay Epoch Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mainstay EpochMainstay Epoch Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mainstay Epoch mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mainstay Epoch mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.7596
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1637
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0079
SAESum of the absolute errors9.9867
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Mainstay Epoch Global historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Mainstay Epoch

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mainstay Epoch Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mainstay Epoch's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0121.5422.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.2419.7723.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.5721.5721.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mainstay Epoch. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mainstay Epoch's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mainstay Epoch's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mainstay Epoch Global.

Mainstay Epoch Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mainstay Epoch mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mainstay Epoch could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mainstay Epoch by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mainstay Epoch Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mainstay Epoch mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mainstay Epoch shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mainstay Epoch mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Mainstay Epoch Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mainstay Epoch Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mainstay Epoch's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mainstay Epoch's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mainstay mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Mainstay Epoch

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Mainstay Epoch position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mainstay Epoch will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Mainstay Mutual Fund

  0.69TEDRX Franklin Mutual GlobalPairCorr
  0.7FMDRX Franklin Mutual GlobalPairCorr
  0.71DOXWX Dodge Cox GlobalPairCorr
  0.71DODWX Dodge Global StockPairCorr
  0.65TRZRX T Rowe PricePairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Mainstay Epoch could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Mainstay Epoch when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Mainstay Epoch - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Mainstay Epoch Global to buy it.
The correlation of Mainstay Epoch is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Mainstay Epoch moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Mainstay Epoch Global moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Mainstay Epoch can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
Note that the Mainstay Epoch Global information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mainstay Epoch's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in Mainstay Mutual Fund

If you are still planning to invest in Mainstay Epoch Global check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Mainstay Epoch's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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