Exelon Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator
| EXC Stock | USD 37.77 0.21 0.56% |
Exelon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Exelon stock prices and determine the direction of Exelon's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Exelon's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Exelon's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Exelon's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Exelon fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Exelon to cross-verify your projections. Exelon |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 Exelon Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Exelon's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Exelon's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Exelon stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Exelon's open interest, investors have to compare it to Exelon's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Exelon is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Exelon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Exelon cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Exelon's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Exelon's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Price Action indicator evaluates an asset for a given trading period using the following formula: ((close - open) + (close - high) + (close - low)) / 2. This indicator is consistent with the interpretation of Japanese candlestick patterns.| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| (0.01) | 0.24 |
| Check Exelon Volatility | Backtest Exelon | Information Ratio |
Exelon Trading Date Momentum
| On April 24 2024 Exelon was traded for 37.77 at the closing time. Highest Exelon's price during the trading hours was 37.95 and the lowest price during the day was 37.32 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 24th of April did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.56% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Exelon to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Exelon
For every potential investor in Exelon, whether a beginner or expert, Exelon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Exelon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Exelon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Exelon's price trends.View Exelon Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Exelon Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Exelon's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Exelon's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Exelon Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Exelon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Exelon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Exelon stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Exelon entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Exelon Risk Indicators
The analysis of Exelon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Exelon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting exelon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9152 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Variance | 1.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.95) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Exelon Investors Sentiment
The influence of Exelon's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Exelon. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Exelon's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Exelon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Exelon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Exelon. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Exelon's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Exelon's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Exelon's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Exelon.
Exelon Implied Volatility | 24.23 |
Exelon's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Exelon stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Exelon's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Exelon stock will not fluctuate a lot when Exelon's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Exelon in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Exelon's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Exelon options trading.
Pair Trading with Exelon
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Exelon position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Exelon will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Exelon Stock
| 0.92 | D | Dominion Energy Financial Report 3rd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | ES | Eversource Energy Financial Report 1st of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | FE | FirstEnergy Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against Exelon Stock
| 0.8 | HE | Hawaiian Electric Financial Report 14th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Exelon could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Exelon when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Exelon - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Exelon to buy it.
The correlation of Exelon is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Exelon moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Exelon moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Exelon can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Exelon to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Exelon Stock refer to our How to Trade Exelon Stock guide.You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for Exelon Stock analysis
When running Exelon's price analysis, check to measure Exelon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exelon is operating at the current time. Most of Exelon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exelon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exelon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exelon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Exelon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exelon. If investors know Exelon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Exelon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.442 | Dividend Share 1.44 | Earnings Share 2.34 | Revenue Per Share 21.814 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.15 |
The market value of Exelon is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exelon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exelon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exelon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Exelon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exelon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Exelon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Exelon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Exelon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.